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Context - The big picture on American deaths in Iraq [Excellent]
National Review ^ | August 28, 2003 | Michael Novak

Posted on 08/28/2003 6:42:17 AM PDT by Ragtime Cowgirl

August 28, 2003, 8:45 a.m.
Context
The big picture on American deaths in Iraq.

n the 118 days between May 1 and August 26, there were 63 American battlefield deaths in Iraq. About two weeks ago, the left-wing press recognized that this did not sound as dramatic as they wished. So they started totaling all military deaths in Iraq, including those from accidents, which happen in military life every day, everywhere. This brought the total up by another 78. They're more comfortable with that total number, 141. But the true battlefield number is 63.

This is significant, because in the first stage of the war, from March 19 until April 30, 112 Americans died in combat, and 29 in various accidents. In those first 42 days, that meant almost 3 combat deaths per day. In the 118 days since then, there has been about one combat death every other day — 63 in 118 days. (The accidental deaths have been fairly consistent: 29 in 42 days early on, and after May 1, 78 in 118 days.)

The total number of American combat deaths in Iraq since March 19 has been, then, 175. But the number of U.S. Marines killed in one single night during the bombing of their barracks in Lebanon in 1983 — the first blow of terror against America — was 243. Drawing a lesson from that incident, Osama bin Laden said before September 11, 2001 that Americans have become soft and surrender prone. Plainly, this is true of some Americans; but I don't think of most.

Consider: During the Vietnam War, Americans lost an average of 15 dead every day; during the Korean War, 30 every day; and during World War II, an average of 214 every day. The numbers in Iraq this year have been far below that.

Tragic for the family as each of these deaths is, the total number of combat deaths in Iraq this year comes to 175 in 170 days, two-thirds of those during the first 40 days.

Nonetheless, it is hard for Americans watching television this summer to watch our young soldiers being picked off one at a time, assassinated really, not in battle, but in cowardly ways (a shot to the back of the skull on a university campus, a grenade dropped from a bridge into an open humvee, another grenade launched at Americans on guard at a children's hospital). Every single death hurts. The drumbeat regularity of one death every two days hurts even more.

The nine Democratic candidates for the presidency in 2004 are already campaigning bitterly on this and other "bad news" issues in Iraq. Democratic hardcore voters hate George Bush with insatiable passion. The candidates who desperately need this hardcore vote in the upcoming Democratic primaries fix on bad news in Iraq like vultures.

President Bush, largely silent just now, and biding his time, has powerful arguments waiting in rebuttal. He welcomes the strategic error of the Democrats in attacking him on the issue of war — where he is far stronger than they — rather than on domestic issues, where they have advantages.

For one thing, terrorist attacks all around the world dropped sharply in 2002 and even more so far during 2003.

Second, there has been no further terrorist attack in America in almost two full years. There have been multiple threats, and any day another tragedy may yet occur. But the nation is not where it was prior to September 11, 2001.

Afghanistan is no longer an open, free training ground for al Qaeda. Iraq is no longer threatening Iran and Kuwait. Also, no longer sending funds to Palestinian homicide bombers. Iran, Syria, and even Saudi Arabia are being more careful, now that they are closely watched. These are large steps forward for the Middle East. More must be done.

Since March thousands of terrorists from around the world have flocked to Iraq to wreak death on Americans. They are still pouring in, drawn like moths to flame. They hope to kill Americans. Instead, they themselves are being killed in droves. In early August, for instance, in an American sweep north of Baghdad, while eight Americans were being killed, more than 300 Fedayeen who engaged them died in combat.

Every terrorist who rushes to Baghdad to kill Americans is one less who is attacking Americans at home. The American strategy is to fight them in Iraq, and other places outside the U.S., rather than to sit and wait for them to come to harm us in New York, Washington, or Los Angeles.

More and more middle-level Iraqi are losing their fear of Saddam and the Baathist party, and are bringing intelligence to the Americans. Even restless, hostile youths on the street are refusing to take up arms against the Americans; the reward they are being offered for killing one American has had to be raised from $300 to $5,000.

Meanwhile, 95 percent of Iraq, while still bristling with privately held arms and dangerous, has brought very few deaths to Americans and others. Virtually all the killings of Americans these days take place within a triangle whose three sides are approximately 100 miles in length. This small triangle, a mere five percent of Iraq's land surface, runs from just south of Baghdad about 100 miles north to Tikrit, about 80 miles from Tikrit to Al-Ramadi, and another 80 miles from Al-Ramadi back to Baghdad.

This is the famous "Sunni triangle," Saddam's homeland, and his most-committed base, the main source of his leadership cadres, and his most trusted and fiercest loyalists. What future do these Baathist Sunnis face, in an Iraq democratically led by a Shiite and Kurdish majority? Even though their rights will be protected, and their interests represented in the new government, some of them will still have to face an unblinking justice. For how long will their scarlet crimes be remembered by those they tortured, murdered, and tormented for 30 long years? Some of them desperately fear a just society.

Still, this small strip of hostile territory will not forever hold its secrets. The call of peace and prosperity will beckon to many civilized and decent people, and age-old streams of dignified manners and peaceful commercial ways will again emerge and flow anew, even in the Sunni Triangle.

Meanwhile, the United States is composed of 50 states, and every day there is an average of one murder in each of them, 50 every day. These 50 are tragic losses, too. They put the losses in Iraq in perspective.

Except that the young American soldiers in Iraq are there as volunteers, who are offering their own lives so that others might live. That is what makes each of their deaths so uniquely painful to their fellow citizens.

We will never be able to honor them enough.

— Michael Novak is the winner of the 1994 Templeton Prize for progress in religion and the George Frederick Jewett Scholar in Religion, Philosophy, and Public Policy at the American Enterprise Institute.



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; United Kingdom; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: goodnews; iraq; michaelnovak
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
bump for later read
41 posted on 08/28/2003 9:43:55 AM PDT by RightField (the older you get ..... the older "old" is ......)
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To: Only1choice____Freedom
"Notice that both groups are diminishing daily in stature and numbers."

Someone needs to pick up the pace though. FASTER FASTER FASTER, MORE MORE MORE!!!!

42 posted on 08/28/2003 9:45:28 AM PDT by Enterprise
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To: TheDon
I believe the former is approx. 285 million, and the latter is 1.5 million men and women in uniform (active and reserve).

So: 100,000/285,000,000 gives us a per capita rate of 1 per 285 or 3.5 Accidental Deaths per 1000 residents in the general population.

For the military to have a 3.5 per thousand rate, we would have to lose 5,250 uniformed personnel in a year.

(Norm 1.5 mil to a thousand - 1500000 / 1000 = 1500. Multiply the Norm factor by the civilian rate of 3.5 to get the actual number of deaths - 1500 * 3.5 = 5250)
43 posted on 08/28/2003 9:52:37 AM PDT by HiJinx (The Right person, in the Right place, at the Right time...)
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
The press doesn't care about the true story, they care about what gets ratings. Stating the truth about what's happened "since President Bush declared an end to major combat operations" is not in their best interest. If ABC sensationalizes the numbers and NBC doesn't, then Mr. Mumbles (aka: Tom Brokaw) loses ratings.

There are no more journalists out there, only talking heads and the producers behind the cameras or in the news room who determine the slant. Novak and others like him make up a small minority that we can't afford to ignore. All the more reason for FR!!

44 posted on 08/28/2003 10:05:14 AM PDT by zingzang
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To: Marysecretary
I read about that. Very sad. The family thought it a gift that they got to see him one last time. What a family!
45 posted on 08/28/2003 10:24:51 AM PDT by TheDon (Why do liberals always side with the enemies of the US?)
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To: TheDon
I believe they were Christians as well. When someone dies who is a Christian, the family has the knowledge of seeing them again some day. That's the hope we have in Christ. It doesn't take away the pain and sorrow, but it brings comfort.
46 posted on 08/28/2003 10:51:10 AM PDT by Marysecretary (GOD is still in control!)
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To: Enterprise
Someone needs to pick up the pace though. FASTER FASTER FASTER, MORE MORE MORE!!!!

Howard Dean is working on it.

47 posted on 08/28/2003 10:56:05 AM PDT by Only1choice____Freedom (If everything you experienced, believed, lived was a lie, would you want to know the truth?)
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To: Only1choice____Freedom
I wonder how many deaths of the Iraqi military there were? And, also how many deaths of the Iraqi civilians were PREVENTED?
This is important too!!
48 posted on 08/28/2003 11:00:23 AM PDT by ktw (kakkate koi)
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To: Ryan Bailey
"since Cortes" LOL how politically incorrect of you!
49 posted on 08/28/2003 11:12:14 AM PDT by WOSG
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
For one thing, terrorist attacks all around the world dropped sharply in 2002 and even more so far during 2003.

Great article.

50 posted on 08/28/2003 11:45:54 AM PDT by BOBTHENAILER (One by one, in groups or whole armies.....we don't care how we getcha, but we will)
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
Bump!
51 posted on 08/28/2003 1:19:07 PM PDT by windchime
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
Geraldo is on Hannity & Colmes saying how well things are going in Iraq. He says the media is wrong.....he saw this with his own eyes. Doesn't care about the politics of it and doesn't buy into a conspiracy theory, but it is absolutely inaccurate not to give credit where credit is due.
52 posted on 08/28/2003 6:10:11 PM PDT by windchime
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl; Grampa Dave; BOBTHENAILER
The candidates who desperately need this hardcore vote in the upcoming Democratic primaries fix on bad news in Iraq like vultures.


DEAN 2004

53 posted on 08/28/2003 6:59:37 PM PDT by PhilDragoo (Hitlery: das Butch von Buchenvald)
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To: PhilDragoo
Now that tells the story of the dems and the media.
54 posted on 08/29/2003 1:11:45 AM PDT by MEG33
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To: PhilDragoo
The Rats = the Slave Party, Death Party and the bad news 24/7/365 party. If there is no bad news, they make it up.
55 posted on 08/29/2003 7:25:10 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (No more 9/11's! Kill the Islamokazis and the Islamofascists in the Middle East!)
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To: PhilDragoo
The candidates who desperately need this hardcore vote in the upcoming Democratic primaries fix on bad news in Iraq like vultures.

As usual, your "Gut them with Graphics", is a bullseye.

56 posted on 08/29/2003 8:29:13 AM PDT by BOBTHENAILER (One by one, in groups or whole armies.....we don't care how we getcha, but we will)
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
http://atomfilms.shockwave.com/af/content/real_hussein

The Real Hussein.

57 posted on 08/29/2003 8:30:19 AM PDT by Porterville (I spell stuff wrong sometimes.... get over yourself, you're not that great.)
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To: zingzang
All the more reason for FR!!

Ping! Thanks for spreading the news, zing.

58 posted on 08/29/2003 11:32:10 AM PDT by Ragtime Cowgirl ("They are taking the fight to the enemy every day and we're winning."-Sgt. Maj. M. Fuss 4th ID 8/22)
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To: Marysecretary
My pleasure, Mary. Please pass it on. Thanks!
59 posted on 08/29/2003 11:33:10 AM PDT by Ragtime Cowgirl ("They are taking the fight to the enemy every day and we're winning."-Sgt. Maj. M. Fuss 4th ID 8/22)
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To: dwd1
Let us remember to keep the pressure on the politicians to remember that we want them home as soon as the job is done.

Good point. One of the most heartening things about this campaign is the comradery, the genuine love for the troops by those running this war...from SOD Rumsfeld, Franks, to Gen. Myers, Pace, Mosely, Abizaid, Sanchez - this is a group of commanders with an abiding respect for their troops (and a genuine understanding of the enemy - including, unfortunately, the mainstream press).

Now, the Senate is another story. Anyone with Hagel, Biden, Dodd, Chafee, Byrd, as their Senator, please keep up on the Sen. Foreign Relations Committee briefings and CALL the Senators to account for their contempt (Hillary - Armed Services, Graham, Intel, too...and Sen. Edwards).

60 posted on 08/29/2003 11:40:36 AM PDT by Ragtime Cowgirl ("They are taking the fight to the enemy every day and we're winning."-Sgt. Maj. M. Fuss 4th ID 8/22)
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