[Torie]

Depends on how Arnold does in the debates and handling scandal. Assuming Arnold holds up, none. If Arnold disappoints one way or the other or both while McClintock shines, quite good actually. Maybe 50%. If Urberroth drops out, I suspect maybe a 20% to Bustamante, and 40% to McClintock and Arnold each. Ubeberroth's comments have had quite a conservative tinge to them - capping spending increases to inflation and population, etc.

[crasher]

What are the chances Ueberroth drops out?