Posted on 08/15/2003 8:49:46 AM PDT by PhiKapMom
The media does not exist to inform you. It exists to get readers and viewers so they can sell advertisng and papers. Telling you dull Gephardt has it made does nothing for ratings or newspaper subscriptions.
Remember that when you look at or read the news. Even when the primaries start they will only give you counts of the Delegates that are won in primary or caucus states. They will not tell you now the party official delegates are pledged to vote. If they did you would know that Hillary has no chance and a brokered convention is very unlikely. You would know the winner a lot sooner than they are prepared to tell you who the winner is. Once you know the nomination winners, you'll quit reading and watching as much... can't have that .. .can they?
Here's what I don't get. Gephardt is supposed to be Dead On Arrival after Dean wins Iowa. Does G have ground troops down there, Union Guys, who will bash heads to put him over the top? Is Dean's internet support oversold (sort of like the Bum of the Month who Don King would dragoon into a ring to get pummeled by Tyson)? In other words, is Dean the Media Candidate as was McCain?
Dean is this year's Eugene McCarthy, only you contend that he'll run into the Organization, just as Gene did. Gene couldn't fight what Norman Mailer called "the great Shaman of the Democratic Party, Lyndon Johnson" and HHH and Bobby. But will Organization Democrats (I guess you can tell I lived for three years in Chicago) have the oomph to derail Dean? Understand that Dean had the blessing of HRC before he ran.
After a defeat, the Organization guys get together to pick the next nominee. Mondale in '84. Clinton in '92 (after the Organization had decided to call itself the DLC), and Dole in '96 were all Organization guys. Clinton had paid his dues, btw, so when he ran he wasn't some McCain-type renegade. He was an Outfit guy with an ambitious wife. The worst kind.
Thanks again for your permission to link. Your stuff is essential to a thorough understanding of how things actually happen.
Oh, I read your piece about Arnold's problem with "the advisors". Once again, on point. My thinking is, strangely enough, that Warren Buffet's money gives Warren Buffet the right to sound off, no matter what effect Warren's Wisdom has on Warren Buffet's Best Friend Arnold. Arnold was being somewhat naive in believing that Warren would just stand by and remain a hood ornament.
AS needs to get out and start town to town campaigning. He's got the free media that chumps like Simon could only dream about .You'll notice I didn't call McClintock a chump and a spoiler: he's got this quasi-religious following on FR that is a sight to behold. Those who point out the McC couldn't win an election for governor in CA, simply for demographic reasons alone, are considered apostate RINO's.
Be Seeing You,
Chris
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