I agree. Also, we should never forget that whenever a U.S. Senator dies in office, the governor appoints his or her replacement. I know Senators don't die very often, but when it does happen, having a Republican governor in the state in question, RINO or not, is crucial.
Arnold will win in CA. People who rarely or never vote will come out to vote for him just because he is a celebrity, and those who rarely vote are a LARGE bunch of people. With this group, rumors about his sex life or early pot smoking may INCREASE his appeal and will certainly NOT decrease it. Immigrants will vote for him because he is an attractive and visibly successful immigrant. The more crowded the field gets, the more Arnold will stand out, and the more nuts enter the contest, the more credible he looks. Unless the 9th Circus stops the recall election, or Arnold drops out for some reason, he will win.