I think the people who think Tom McClintock or Bill Simon or Peter Ueberroth will receive the most votes are delusional
Another thing Arnold is good at is self-promotion(any Hollywood star has to be). He is going to suck up the media spotlight.
And then there is the question of debates. Would that debate be Arnold and Bustamante, or Arnold, Bustamante, Grarimandi, Gary Coleman, etc.etc..