At least the author has the sense to not make a firm prediction. Now I have no crystal ball and I suggest no one has one that works consistently. therefor anyone who makes predictions is asking to have those predictions thrown in his/her face when events prove them wrong as they often do. Now in Chemistry and physics one may reasonably make predictions. If one contains for example 100ml of C8H18 and 2L of O2 in an enclosed space at 20degrees C and standard pressure and introduces a spark at 950 degrees C then the result will be an incendiary event that will release energy. such predictions can not be made in economics.
Now if you want GWB re-elected the way to do that is to address issues not pretend they are not issues. GWB needs to address issues not merely wait for them to go away if things go his way.