Posted on 07/26/2003 5:27:03 PM PDT by blam
Do you think they will waste one on a test?
Who will they test it on?
If they announce a test on a given date and we do not detect anything on that date, do we assume the test failed? What should we do then?
Someone tell William Perry that Clinton is to blame for this predicament. Thanks a lot, Willie, you effing scumbag!
Nevertheless, I wish the faction within the administration that appears to be arguing that we do nothing for now would STFU! Every month we delay another city is put at risk. If we are going to blockade them, let's do it now. To hell with waiting for actionable intelligence. If we are going to go in for a surgical strike, let's do it now. We cannot afford to allow them to build a bomb every month for the next six months. Better to engage them now when they only have one or two bombs than later when they have eight.
These tests are newly assembled missiles by Iran.
Prior to Gulf war I ..Iraq learned that they could not get the 1000kg warhead to Israel..they were forced to knock the warhead yield back to 250kg and increase fuel.
The scud still flew wildly of course..broke apart in flight..encuring various termial guidance problems.
This happened..with Russian technitions assisting.
Irans Shehab 3 is powered by the Korean Nodong Scud series knock off.
Shehab 4 is derived from the obsolete Soviet era SS-4.
Another inventory attempt is based on the RD-216 Liquid fuel rocket booster which powered the Soviet SS-5.
Irans missile program has been dismal,with many launches simply exploding in stage seperation.
Korean supplied parts are unreliable...the fueling systems are maintenence intensive...the terminal guidance unreliable aswell.
At present..Neither Iran or N.K. has anything which can lift a nuclear warhead and put it down accurately at any great distance.
1300 klms is nice numbers..but unrealistic when the weight of a nuclear warhead is matched.
The Bush Admin is on the right path though in this...its not worth the cost to China's import/export need to stall much longer to protect Chubby Boy in N.K. with a useless V2 rocket.
Iran will pack up shop too...that is if Russia cooperates...their program as useless as the N Korean.
Presently..Iran is trying to 11:59 all the missile parts they can before China caves and lets N.K. wither on the vine.
Here too is also good news for Israel..as supply parts for many of the Scud series in the mid east will dry up..the guidance systems and other electro initiating parts will simply cascade out from magnetism and decay.
Unless Syria has been able to R and D the Scud series...the entire missile theatre threat in the mideast could be on its last legs.
The United States is steering the region away from the brink..[The Gutless Democrats ...silent]...it is requireing fiscal concession...as the U.S. is in some cases rewarding certain nations to desist from their missile programs.
Damascus is rethinking its power projection.
U.S. has read them the riot act...they know Bush is serious..they alsO have a recent memory to remind them that they are just a reach away from U.S. and Israel when resolve is set in motion.
Several intel sites wispered a covert opp several years ago..while Bashar Assad was away at the Beruit summit.
A Scud C/D and VX warhead facility deep underground in the HOMS fire chain sector went up...many North Korean technitions were killed.
Syria said they had a chemical accident..
Days later..North Korea asked the U.S. to come to the bargaining table.
However..China's hands were still wrenching..as N.K. demands were unacceptable..even Colin Powel baulked.
So...Pre-emption has already occured.
The Term.."Axis of Evil" is a very lucid jolt to the machinators of N.K.,China,Iran and Syria.
Talk my seem to be a dance step on the surface to the world media...but quietly..these nations know the U.S. and Israel are not fooling around.
Hats off to Bush..."Bitch slap that Chubby Boy"..
Do it right in front of the Silk Lords in Bejing : )
They're afraid of their good buddies the communist Chinese and they know this is serious. They would rather appease them and if they don't say anything, maybe the red chinese mad dog will just disappear. They also know that both them and the chinese can use the mad dog to influence the next election. The interesting part would be to see how the '04 rat candidates are planning to appease and use this to their advantage.
The whole thing would be ended if the Chinese told them to heal. THey won't.
North Korean military ideology, policy, strategy, and tactical doctrine
A French view on the threat from North Korea
U.S. Army War College view on North Korean strategy and intentions
CNS suggestions for U.S. Policy re: North Korea
Any discussion of DPRK military capability should be tempered, as Light Speed notes above, with the knowledge that their equipment is substandard relative to that of U.S./ROK. Indeed, much of it is plain junk. So when you read something that says they have 50,000 Type II Whatchamacallit missiles, keep that in mind.
I know what you're saying, though I'd pin more blame on Klaus Fuchs who actually worked at Los Alamos and got off easy. A stretch in prison in the UK, followed by defection to East Germany.
Seriously though, at this point the principles of the "atomic bomb" are common knowledge, the only issue is industrial capacity and allocation of resources.
I'd blame the 'toons before I'd blame the Rosenbergs or anyone else of that era.
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