McCain is popular and will win any primary and the general easily. He is the titular head of the Republican party and has the highest approval rating.
I don't attribute this to any leadership on the part of the Democrats but the lack of the same by Republicans. Squaw Peak by any other name is still Squaw Peak but Arizona loved her sticking it to the Rs. A Pinto Democrat will always vote Democrat.
Absent a scandal? Butch IS a scandal!!