[Semper Paratus]

Dean wins! Dean wins!

Sounds like the Yankee broadcaster John Sterling:

Yankees Win! Arrrrrrr, Yankees Win!

[alloysteel]

If you don't like the answer you are going to get, don't ask the question....

Trial lawyers are careful not to ask unless they are pretty sure beforehand of the response.

[End Times Sentinel]

Look how poorly Reverend Al did!  What a bunch of rashists.  I think this poll been manipsnayed.

Owl_Eagle

”Guns Before Butter.”

[rattrap]

Hurtling towards a 50 state landslide...

If we can't have Al, go Dean!

[finnman69]

TOP LINE RESULTS

On June 24th and 25th, 2003 we held an online vote to help our members express their preferences among the current field of Democratic candidates. This vote also served to determine if there was consensus among MoveOn members for a candidate endorsement for the 2004 presidential contest. MoveOn.org PAC had announced that any candidate from the field of nine that garnered more than 50% of the vote would receive our endorsement.

In just a little over 48 hours, 317,647 members voted, making this vote larger than both the New Hampshire Democratic primary and Iowa caucuses combined. Here are the vote totals and percentages, when voters are asked to choose one candidate:

BRAUN 7021 2.21%
DEAN 139360 43.87%
EDWARDS 10146 3.19%
GRAHAM 7113 2.24%
KERRY 49973 15.73%
KUCINICH 76000 23.93%
GEPHARDT 7755 2.44%
LIEBERMAN 6095 1.92%
SHARPTON 1677 0.53%
OTHER 6121 1.93%
UNDECIDED 6378 2.01%
317647 100.00%

The numbers speak for themselves. Since no candidate received more than 50% of the vote, MoveOn.org PAC will not currently endorse any candidate. We are not surprised that candidates who've invested in internet grassroots organizing have done well in this vote, and hope that all candidates will work to broaden their bases of support, even this early in the election cycle.

"ENTHUSIASTIC SUPPORT" FOR MANY CANDIDATES

In addition to the pure choice vote, in our second ballot question we asked members to indicate all candidates they would enthusiastically support.

28.47% of those who responded to this question said they would enthusiastically support ANY Democratic candidate. In addition to this base, here's what our members said about which candidates they would enthusiastically support:

BRAUN 155628 50.54%
DEAN 264866 86.02%
EDWARDS 172076 55.88%
GRAHAM 153045 49.70%
KERRY 231830 75.29%
KUCINICH 210164 68.25%
GEPHARDT 163110 52.97%
LIEBERMAN 132447 42.01%
SHARPTON 109249 35.48%

We are encouraged by this sense of unity and the broad support for Democratic leaders.

MOVEON MEMBERS ARE WILLING TO STEP UP

In the third section of the ballot, we asked MoveOn members if they're ready to participate actively in campaigns. 77,192 voters asked us to share contact information with the candidate of their choice. 49,132 voters pledged to support a campaign financially. 54,370 voters pledged to volunteer for a campaign. Once each ballot was submitted, MoveOn PAC presented each voter with a link to their chosen candidate's website and donation web page. MoveOn voters are already providing real support to campaigns.

TRUST BUT VERIFY

This kind of voting process is very new and we've taken extraordinary steps to insure its robustness and integrity. The voting itself was controlled through the limitation of one vote per email address -- an email ballot could only be used for one vote. In addition, we subjected the votes to several tests based on whether multiple votes were submitted through a single machine, whether an unusual number of votes came from a certain domain, or whether single voters participated through several email addresses. Finally, we contracted for a followup telephone survey, through a respected, independent polling firm, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Reseach . This survey, which we've called our "exit poll" was run to bring independent verification of the voting percentages. As you see below, the exit poll numbers reflect the actual voting results very closely, well within the projected three percent margin of error:

VOTE SURVEY DIFF
BRAUN 2.2% 3.1% 0.9%
DEAN 43.9% 43.9% 0.0%
EDWARDS 3.2% 3.5% 0.3%
GRAHAM 2.2% 2.7% 0.5%
KERRY 15.7% 14.8% -0.9%
KUCINICH 23.9% 23.4% -0.5%
GEPHARDT 2.4% 2.1% -0.3%
LIEBERMAN 1.9% 1.2% -0.7%
SHARPTON 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
OTHER 1.9% 2.1% 0.2%
UNDECIDED 2.0% 2.7% 0.7%
100.00% 100.00% %0.0

The telephone survey also served as an independent check that the phone numbers given in our ballet verification were valid.

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Reseach concluded, "The results for each candidate in the online primary are remarkably close to the results in the telephone survey. The consistency between the online vote results and the telephone survey results confirms the integrity of the online vote. "

(Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Reseach does not serve as a pollster for any Democratic Presidential Candidate.)

CONCLUSION

We've been overwhelmed with the excitement surrounding this election process, and feel very satisfied with the results. All campaigns engaged our members and together we're building a broad, active base of the support for the eventual Democratic nominee.



TOP WRITE IN CANDIDATES

Wesley Clark 2968 0.93%
Al Gore 786 0.24%
Hillary Clinton 592 0.19%

[BCrago66]

Except for foreign policy, it looks like the Dems have already won substantively. They don't need to actually win elections anymore.

1 - We have a "living constitution" Supreme Court making it up as it goes along.

2 - Racial discrimination is the law of the land.

3 - President Bush has just presided over a giganic redistributionist expansion of Medicale.

So the joke is on us. The Dems have won.

[amused]

This is a disappointing set back but we must remember Yogi's wisdom.

Al Sharpton:

Curled, Rested and Ready for ‘04

[drc43]

"Friday, June 27, 12:00pm—No candidate won a majority in this week’s first-ever Democratic online presidential primary, therefore MoveOn.org PAC will not make an endorsement at this time. Howard Dean received the highest vote total with 43.87% of the vote (139,360 votes); "

Hmmm...their poster boy, WJBC, was twice elected president with percentages such as these. Didn't bother them then.

[alloysteel]

Unh - just what did he win? And is it worth a sputtering ladyfinger firecracker?

[BigWaveBetty]

Most votes to Dean, followed by Kucinich, Kerry

SUH-WHEEEEEET!!

[ChadGore]

Al Gore 0.24%
Hillary Clinton 0.19%

HA HA

[Search4Truth]

"When I’m President, we'll have executive orders to overcome any wrong thing the Supreme Court does - Gov Dean"

Over my dead body, you commie slime.

[Thane_Banquo]

Mark my words. Dean will receive the nomination, and he will become the laughingstock of American politics just like Michael Dukakis.

[Jhensy]

This is pretty significant, because it really looks like the loony Michael Moore left will be a big force in their campaign and convention. They're ignoring the history lesson of triangulation and appealing to the moderate middle.

Incredibly stupid, politically speaking.

[VRWC_minion]

Looks as though the on line poll doesn't track a scientific poll. They seem to claim its valid because of the phone calling tests but they don't agree with the scientific ones. If anything it means the members of move-on are way left of center

FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Latest: June 17-18, 2003. N=301 registered Democrats nationwide.
					.
"I'm going to read you a list of names of some possible candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in the next election. If a 2004 Democratic primary for president were held today, which ONE of the following candidates would you most likely vote for?" If "Not sure," ask: "Well, to whom do you lean at this time?"
		6/17-18/03	5/6-7/03	2/25-26/03	1/14-15/03
		%	%	%	%
	Joe Lieberman	15	19	15	29
	John Kerry	15	12	10	13
	Dick Gephardt	7	14	16	15
	John Edwards	5	5	6	8
	Bob Graham	5	4	n/a	n/a
	Howard Dean	4	5	4	2
	Carol Moseley Braun	3	2	5	n/a
	Dennis Kucinich	2	1	2	n/a
	Al Sharpton	2	5	4	5
	Someone else/Other (vol.)	8	3	5	8
	Not sure	34	30	33	20

[beckett]

Rob Reiner (aka Meathead) shilled for Dean on Charlie Rose last week, touting a Dean/Clarke ticket on the theory that Clarke can compensate for Dean's rabid hatred of all things military. If Reiner is a bellweather for the mood of Hollywood -- a not unlikely assumption given his respected position in that community -- it bodes well for Bush, because it means Hollywood will be wasting its campaign dollars on a thoroughly unelectable candidate.

[Dan from Michigan]

Good - Hard Left will be fighting the establishment pick, Kerry. That could be a NASTY infight.
Good - Dennis the Menace was 2nd. He's the most hardline lefty out of anyone. If he gains ground.
Bad - Dean is more dangerous than Kerry.
Bad - Sharpton was near the bottom. I'd love to see Crazy Al get into an dem racial fight.

[Cyber Liberty]

"Excellent."

[pawdoggie]

Of course he wins! How else can they set up Hillary for a run in 2008?

[RippleFire]

bump