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I was thinking the same thing, nothing but circumstantial evidence. I guess it will come out in the case. The prosecutor interviewed on TV did state that arson is one of the toughest cases to prosecute. They probably interviewed those in attendance at the dorm party on that floor and did a process of elimination as to who did what and went where after the party, who smoked and owned cigarette lighters, etc. The police sort of knew within a week of the fire as to who did what and who were the main suspects. The hard part was getting around the obstruction of justice by the suspects and parents of the suspects. Time will tell and I will post the articles as they come out.