The recall vote tote is going to get the necessasy level of signatures by mid-July that includes a lot of additional signatures gathered to compensate for any disqualified signatures that are checked for authenticity,etc.
If the Secy of State wants to drag out the verification process for 6 months, so be it.. all the better,, that way Gray gets whipped or Cruz gets whipped as the budget melts down and the state with it.
I don't see the election happening next spring personally. It is a foregone that it will occur. Why postpone the inevitable?
And quite frankly, its California's last best shot of turning this state around.. sad to say.
We need Tom in the recall winner's circle and We need to toss demRats out of Stinkymento in 2004.
Not as many extra signatures will be needed as for normal initiatives or referenda. With a normal initiative you turn in all the signatures at one time, so you have to make absolutely certain that there is an ample margin to cover however many are disqualified. If you come up a 100 short out of 900,000, you are sh!t out of luck.
But with a recall measure, the signatures can be turned in on a continuous basis. The County Registrars are supposed to constantly be validating them, and the Secretary of State must report the total number of validated signatures on a monthly basis.
Not only does this give the circulators a much more accurate picture of their validity rate and the number of remaining signatures they need, but it eliminates the requirement for huge margins. For example, if the recall proponents know that they already have 800,000 valid signatures (out of perhaps 900,000 raw ones turned in), then they only have to submit another 115,000 raw signatures to make it over the top. And if they come up slightly short, they just submit a few more, assuming there is any time left.
In the case of the Davis recall, the goal is to finish by the 4th of July, almost two months before the September 2nd drop-dead date. If it takes them till the 8th of July, oh well. And if they're still a few short, they just keep submitting more signatures.
That's one of the reasons that it is an absolute certainty that this recall is going to make it onto the ballot.