U.S. man who visited Toronto has SARS [N.C.]

Toronto Star ^ | Jun. 9, 2003

[Future Useless Eater]

U.S. officials CONFIRMED this North Carolina man today.

(It's also the first we've heard of it, I believe)

And [he may have been] infected by a person who had SARS and was infectious but showed no symptoms.

[Future Useless Eater]

ping

[Future Useless Eater]

And this from [Toronto] Hospitals rapped for SARS breaches

Nurses at Mount Sinai Hospital complain they were ordered not to comply with a directive requiring them to wear full protective gear. They say five infants, mothers and about 100 staffers would not be in quarantine now had the directive been followed.

[FairOpinion]

"And [he may have been] infected by a person who had SARS and was infectious but showed no symptoms. "

Apparently until now doctors thought that isn't happening. It is also strange that the person he went to visit didn't get SARS, but the other two did.

[DB]

And we are suppose to believe the Chinese have this under control.

No way.

[The Westerner]

It's been medical knowledge for years that a virus is most contagious prior to the onset of symptoms. Why would this virus be different?

[FairOpinion]

"It's been medical knowledge for years that a virus is most contagious prior to the onset of symptoms. Why would this virus be different? "

Why are doctors saying that it isn't contagious prior to onset of symptoms? Perhaps they don't want to panic people. But I agree with you about the contagiousness.

[Future Useless Eater]

SARS Mortality Rates [reflects treatment] for 'PROBABLE' cases only Based on World Health Organization daily tables                 (Revised:  Jun 09 pm)
Area	Recoveries to date	Deaths to date	Recent** Death Rate		Active Cases still in Danger	Projected Future Deaths	Projected Cumulative Mortality
China [bogus]	4186	340	1.4%		802	11	6.6%
Taiwan [bogus]	257	81	0.0%		342	0	11.9%
Hong Kong	1365	288	12.7%		100	13	17.2%
elsewhere [30 countries]	472	75	17.9%		113	20	14.4%
**  Recent deaths are based on findings from the Imperial College of London...... that deaths take 12 days longer on average than recoveries on average..... = (12-day recent deaths) / (12-day recent deaths + prior 12-day recoveries)

Observations - Treatment:
• Taiwan used to report 'probable' cases ONLY when they were in CRITICAL condition, resulting in a HUGE mortality rate.
• Then to make up for their obvious phoney data, Taiwan STOPPED reporting any 'probable' case deaths, [hence their unlikely 0% recent death rate]
• Taiwan maintains an additional shamelessly high 'suspected' SARS count exceeding 1400 patients.
• China's numbers are also grossly underreported, in different ways.
• China abruptly STOPPED classifying ANY NEW 'PROBABLE' cases in most areas besides Beijing about May 10th.
• China has also chosen to report VERY FEW 'probable' deaths recently.

Trend - Active Cases Still in Danger [reflects containment] for 'PROBABLE' cases only
Date	China [Bogus]	Taiwan [Bogus]	Hong Kong	elsewhere 30 countries	World-wide all 33 countries
May 26	2170	401	183	58	2812
May 27	2057	408	174	59	2698
May 28	1962	418	165	61	2606
May 29	1877	457	157	56	2547
May 30	1750	461	158	65	2434
May 31	1625	469	151	87	2332
Jun 01	1565	466	143	97	2271
Jun 02	1499	469	145	99	2212
Jun 03	1437	462	137	113	2149
Jun 04	1321	325	126	112	1884
Jun 05	1223	339	121	115	1798
Jun 06	1122	338	114	113	1687
Jun 07	1058	339	106	115	1618
Jun 08	932	338	101	112	1483
Jun 09	802	342	100	113	1357
Jun 10	...	348	...	...	...
(includes new daily cases... excludes cases resolved by death or recovery) (some tables are supplemented with government data when WHO data is missing)

Observations - Containment:
• Earler, Taiwan was withholding less-serious 'probable' cases and calling them 'suspected'.
• Taiwan's 'probable' count should be FIVE or SIX HUNDRED higher.
• On June 4th Taiwan declared 140 patients 'recovered', hence the drop below.
                                          Jun 10  (348) ACTIVE 'probable' cases
Apr 30   (41)     

---

• ALSO Starting about June 4th, Taiwan NEARLY STOPPED classifying 'probable cases' even though their 'suspected cases' were still climbing.
  -
                                                Jun 10  (686 probable/ 1402 suspected)
May 29   (660 probable/ 1158 suspected) cases

---

• China's 'official' numbers in the charts and their recent 'improvements' are bogus.
• They abruptly stopped ALL REPORTS of NEW 'PROBABLE' cases in most places (besides Beijing) about May 10th or May 14th.
  Here are some examples...

---

Inner Mongolia (province) - TOTAL 'probable' case count
                                    Jun 02 (284 TOTAL 'probable' cases)
April 28 (114 TOTAL 'probable' cases)
[abrupt change occurred May 10]

---

Guandong (province) - TOTAL 'probable' case count
                                    Jun 02 (1511 TOTAL 'probable' cases)
April 28 (1395 TOTAL 'probable' cases)
[abrupt change occurred May 10]   ...vertical scale = 1350 to 1520

---

Tianjin (municipality) - TOTAL 'probable' case count
                                    Jun 02 (175 TOTAL 'probable' cases)
April 28 (43 TOTAL 'probable' cases)
[abrupt change occurred May 14]

---

Shanxi (province) - TOTAL 'probable' case count
                                    Jun 02 (448 TOTAL 'probable' cases)
April 28 (243 TOTAL 'probable' cases)
[abrupt change about May 14]   ...vertical scale = 200 to 450

---


The only way these graphs could flat-line SO ABRUPTLY is China cheating
on their reporting, and to stop reporting any new SARS cases as 'probable'.

[Future Useless Eater]

SARS - Treatment/Containment tables - updated here

[BagCamAddict]

Have you ever seen such manipulated data? Geez, look at those bar charts... who do they think they are fooling?

[DB]

Thanks for the detailed information and I agree with you.

[desertsolitaire]

Where do you think this is going? in a general sense, that is?

[friendly]

The magnificent Canadian socialized health care system is busy tranforming Ontario into a permanent SARS plague zone.

Between forging death certificates, on-going governmental cover-ups, and third world ER standards, most cases coming into the US are from people stupid enough to have visited the SARS hell-hole of Toronto.

[Beck_isright]

"The magnificent Canadian socialized health care system is busy tranforming Ontario into a permanent SARS plague zone."

Which means that this winter, the entire United States will be in the same condition thanks to the amount of commerce crossing from Ontario into the US. Thank you socialist idiots for every death you cause in the US. It's reason enough to terminate NAFTA.

[Judith Anne]

bump

When there are SARS cases and no epidemiological link, then it's "out there" and definitely NOT under control.

[Beck_isright]

Well, once it gets into the truck driver population in large numbers, all bets are off.

[Judith Anne]

I agree...

[aristeides]

Canada fears third wave of SARS: Nurses seek inquiry into handling of crisis.

[Judith Anne]

I'm going to post that article, aristeides. Thanks for the link and the ping.

[MeneMeneTekelUpharsin]

Thanks for the ping. This is going to be a severe problem precisely due to mishandling by governments involved.