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Straw, Powell had serious doubts over their Iraqi weapons claims
The Guardian (UK Left Wing ) ^ | Saturday May 31, 2003 | Dan Plesch and Richard Norton-Taylor

Posted on 05/30/2003 6:59:24 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach

Straw, Powell had serious doubts over their Iraqi weapons claims

Secret transcript revealed

Dan Plesch and Richard Norton-Taylor
Saturday May 31, 2003
The Guardian


Jack Straw and his US counterpart, Colin Powell, privately expressed serious doubts about the quality of intelligence on Iraq's banned weapons programme at the very time they were publicly trumpeting it to get UN support for a war on Iraq, the Guardian has learned.

Their deep concerns about the intelligence - and about claims being made by their political bosses, Tony Blair and George Bush - emerged at a private meeting between the two men shortly before a crucial UN security council session on February 5.

The meeting took place at the Waldorf hotel in New York, where they discussed the growing diplomatic crisis. The exchange about the validity of their respective governments' intelligence reports on Iraq lasted less than 10 minutes, according to a diplomatic source who has read a transcript of the conversation.

The foreign secretary reportedly expressed concern that claims being made by Mr Blair and President Bush could not be proved. The problem, explained Mr Straw, was the lack of corroborative evidence to back up the claims.

Much of the intelligence were assumptions and assessments not supported by hard facts or other sources.

Mr Powell shared the concern about intelligence assessments, especially those being presented by the Pentagon's office of special plans set up by the US deputy defence secretary, Paul Wolfowitz.

Mr Powell said he had all but "moved in" with US intelligence to prepare his briefings for the UN security council, according to the transcripts.

But he told Mr Straw he had come away from the meetings "apprehensive" about what he called, at best, circumstantial evidence highly tilted in favour of assessments drawn from them, rather than any actual raw intelligence.

Mr Powell told the foreign secretary he hoped the facts, when they came out, would not "explode in their faces".

What are called the "Waldorf transcripts" are being circulated in Nato diplomatic circles. It is not being revealed how the transcripts came to be made; however, they appear to have been leaked by diplomats who supported the war against Iraq even when the evidence about Saddam Hussein's programme of weapons of mass destruction was fuzzy, and who now believe they were lied to.

People circulating the transcripts call themselves "allied sources supportive of US war aims in Iraq at the time".

The transcripts will fuel the controversy in Britain and the US over claims that London and Washington distorted and exaggerated the intelligence assessments about Saddam's nuclear, chemical and biological weapons programme.

An unnamed intelligence official told the BBC on Thursday that a key claim in the dossier on Iraq's weapons released by the British government last September - that Iraq could launch a chemical or biological attack within 45 minutes of an order - was inserted on the instructions of officials in 10 Downing Street.

Adam Ingram, the armed forces minister, admitted the claim was made by "a single source; it wasn't corroborated".

Speaking yesterday in Warsaw, the Polish capital, Mr Blair said the evidence of weapons of mass destruction in the dossier was "evidence the truth of which I have absolutely no doubt about at all".

He said he had consulted the heads of the security and intelligence services before emphatically denying that Downing Street had leaned on them to strengthen their assessment of the WMD threat in Iraq. He insisted he had "absolutely no doubt" that proof of banned weapons would eventually be found in Iraq. Whitehall sources make it clear they do not share the prime minister's optimism.

The Waldorf transcripts are all the more damaging given Mr Powell's dramatic 75-minute speech to the UN security council on February 5, when he presented declassified satellite images, and communications intercepts of what were purported to be conversations between Iraqi commanders, and held up a vial that, he said, could contain anthrax.

Evidence, he said, had come from "people who have risked their lives to let the world know what Saddam is really up to".

Some of the intelligence used by Mr Powell was provided by Britain.

The US secretary of state, who was praised by Mr Straw as having made a "most powerful and authoritative case", also drew links between al-Qaida and Iraq - a connection dismissed by British intelligence agencies. His speech did not persuade France, Germany and Russia, who stuck to their previous insistence that the UN weapons inspectors in Iraq should be given more time to do their job.

The Waldorf meeting took place a few days after Downing Street presented Mr Powell with a separate dossier on Iraq's banned weapons which he used to try to strengthen the impact of his UN speech.

A few days later, Downing Street admitted that much of its dossier was lifted from academic sources and included a plagiarised section written by an American PhD student.

Mr Wolfowitz set up the Pentagon's office of special plans to counter what he and his boss, Donald Rumsfeld, considered inadequate - and unwelcome - intelligence from the CIA.

He angered critics of the war this week in a Vanity Fair magazine interview in which he cited "bureaucratic reasons" for the White House focusing on Iraq's alleged arsenal as the reason for the war. In reality, a "huge" reason for the conflict was to enable the US to withdraw its troops from Saudi Arabia, he said.

Earlier in the week, Mr Rumsfeld suggested that Saddam might have destroyed such weapons before the war.

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Special reports
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Explained
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Interactive guides
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Speeches
18.03.2003: Tony Blair's speech to the Commons

Full texts
18.03.2003: Emergency Commons motion on Iraq
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27.02.2003: MPs who voted against war in February

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TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: cia; deception; espionage; iraq; iraqifreedom; powell; straw; un; war; wmd
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Who are they trying to convince, Susan Sarandon?

They are not going to convince anyone that we shouldn't have gone into Iraq at this stage.

21 posted on 05/30/2003 7:29:31 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
I must wonder how real these supposed transcripts are. I just don't buy into the claim yet.
22 posted on 05/30/2003 7:31:40 PM PDT by Tempest
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To: Dog Gone
There seems to be a huge campaign going on, particularly in Europe, to Nuke Blair and perhaps Bush over the WMD not being found yet!

Multiple threads are up this afternoon on the topic, so Guess what Russert will be asking his guests on the Sunday talk shows!

23 posted on 05/30/2003 7:34:35 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (Iran will feel the heat from our Iraq victory!)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Weren't these liberals the same people who said "BLIX NEEDS MORE TIME, BE PATIENT, BLIX WILL NEED MONTHS IF NOT YEARS TO FIND THE WEAPONS" and now that we're in Iraq for only a month and a half the Liberals are saying "HURRY UP, SEE THERE WERE NO WEAPONS, IF AMERICA DOESN'T FIND THEM IN THE NEXT 2 MINUTES SADDAM MUST BE REINSTALLED AS RULER OF IRAQ!".

Yes... Veeerrryy consistent. Assholes!
24 posted on 05/30/2003 7:42:42 PM PDT by Pubbie (Bill Owens for Prez and Jeb as VP in '08.)
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To: blam
ping!
25 posted on 05/30/2003 7:55:02 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (Iran will feel the heat from our Iraq victory!)
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To: cascademountaineer
Whats your point?

Saddam sent money to Ritter, western gov't officials and last but not least the families of suicide bombers in Israel.

He may have destroyed all evidence of his NBC weapons programs when given an approximately 8 month advance warning that we were coming.

You CAN'T be sure that he didn't posess and distribute NBC weapons to terrorists but we CAN be sure that he won't do so in the future.

This was the entire point of the war (unless one is a mealy mouthed weakling leftist SOB socialist scumbag hypocrite, who are the only ones I see complaining about the fall of the psychotic Hussein regime).

26 posted on 05/30/2003 7:56:29 PM PDT by Rome2000 (Convicted felons for Kerry)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
I watched Powell before the UN...he didn't look/act like he had any doubts.
27 posted on 05/30/2003 7:58:59 PM PDT by mystery-ak (The War is not over for me until my hubby's boots hit U.S. soil)
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To: Miss Marple
"State Department weasels trying to undercut Bush and Powell!"
--

More proof that Newt is right about the State Dept.
28 posted on 05/30/2003 8:04:12 PM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
For goodness sakes it's the Guardian. Their 'sources' and 'unnamed diplomats' also had us hopelessly bogged down against the Republican Guard.

Desperate Communists flinging whatever will stick.

29 posted on 05/30/2003 8:11:30 PM PDT by Jhensy
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
"Defense Intelligence Gets New Blueprint"

Thanks for posting the link. I missed it and it's a very interesting, I would consider "must read" article.
30 posted on 05/30/2003 8:13:48 PM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
"Full scale assault underway on the reasons for the Iraq war! "

You are absolutely right. I am coming across article after article accusing the US and UK of having invented the entire notion of Iraq having WMD. At Google News it said "233 related articles".

But they don't seem to want to look back that the entire world was sure in 1998 that Saddam had WMD then and obviously he didn't get rid of them, or he would have let in the inspectors.
31 posted on 05/30/2003 8:27:33 PM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: Miss Marple
This tripe from the Guardian....the same Brit rag that printed the story that the Jessica Lynch rescue was a set-up caper with no heroics performed.

Next time you pass a newsstand with the Guardian displayed, make sure you bury it underneath other papers. They don't deserve a chance to circulate this bilge.

32 posted on 05/30/2003 8:40:32 PM PDT by HardStarboard
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
Full scale assault underway on the reasons for the Iraq war!

A real gusher.

33 posted on 05/30/2003 8:41:13 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; Dog Gone
Yep! It's a "Nuke 'em both and the horses they rode in on" campaign, from all appearances.

It will be interesting to see how President Bush responds, and even more interesting to see the opposition's reaction.

They are misunderestimating his strategery...

34 posted on 05/31/2003 12:04:30 AM PDT by dixiechick2000 (Never have so many, been so wrong, about so much.)
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To: mystery-ak
He has an answer :

IRAQ: Powell Defends Information He Used to Justify Iraq War

35 posted on 05/31/2003 12:18:55 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (Where is Saddam? and his Weapons of Mass Destruction?)
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To: cascademountaineer
Vince Cannistraro (an ABCNEWS consultant) and a Reuters article posted on Yahoo -- a dynamic trio. I'm afraid your sources don't have much credibility on FR.
36 posted on 05/31/2003 7:29:17 AM PDT by browardchad
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Comment #37 Removed by Moderator

To: Agape
I agree somewhat. Just because they may not have found WMDs at this time, does not mean that US intell was lacking, let alone embellished.
38 posted on 05/31/2003 2:17:03 PM PDT by rintense (Thank you to all our brave soldiers, past and present, for your faithful service to our country.)
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