If his poll numbers in the northeast go further south, he could end up being the first presidential candidate to win no states in the Electoral College. Even Fritz Mondale was able (just barely) to win his home state of Minnesota in 1984, and McGovern carried Massechussetts in 1972. What's really needed is Republican pickups in the House, but especially the Senate to go along with an historic Electoral College route.
They will, especially ff the Dims keep trying to make Bush's handling of the war on terror their big issue.