Posted on 05/17/2003 6:37:48 AM PDT by TigerLikesRooster
Sounds like the PLAN is working,
This is far less 'master plan' than it is skillful opportunism. Rats want to leave a sinking ship, and the means to do so are being facilitated.
Were Bush of a different ideological makeup, the North Korean regime would not be in nearly so desperate a situation. As it is now, the life support plugs are being subtly cut, and everyone in the government knows that past a certain point, collapse is unavoidable. Now more than ever they are desperate to sell missiles, narcotics, and expertise to whoever will buy it, but the noose is silently tightening.
When our envoys meet, it is at our conveniece, when the DPRK reps make absurd claims and refuse to budge, we shrug, and move on. We don't have much time to deal with Kim, but he has far less to deal with us. We can run out the clock.
Kim is desperate for us to take the bait of his provocative acts, both political and military. He's scared, because he need more than money from us. He needs a threat. The mid level commanders and officials, the backbone of the regime, may be slipping in loyalty. Right now, all Kim can offer is starvation, poverty, and constant threats of death and prison.
After 50 years of living under a foriegn menace that has yet to set foot in North Korea, they may well believe that we're not coming. America as a boogieman may have been believable growing up, but the real monster they remember is starvation. If so, the entire political dynamic could be vulnerable to desperate men who will not stand to starved again.
By leaving North Korea in desperation, the few people there who have access to the real numbers can quickly tally the score, and see that their glorious revolution is imminently doomed. Bush won't offer real aid, or make a hard military move, or anything that would play into the hands of Kim. His aims appear simple and effective: Let North Korea fail by its own devices, and give them no means to further use us as a unifying threat.
Several moderately long detailed reports would be preferred.
I mean, we love you man....lay it on us.
I'll bet ole Kimmee misses Bubba and his idiot friend Jimmy Carter! Good analysis, they've done everything but actually poke a stick in BUSH"S eye, it ain't working, BWAAAAAA.
Were Bush of a different ideological makeup, the North Korean regime would not be in nearly so desperate a situation. As it is now, the life support plugs are being subtly cut, and everyone in the government knows that past a certain point, collapse is unavoidable. Now more than ever they are desperate to sell missiles, narcotics, and expertise to whoever will buy it, but the noose is silently tightening.
It is my belief that we are in the middle of a joint CIA-KCIA operation. KCIA is like a law unto itself, especially under a leftist regime. They understood that Roh was talking out of his ass, and that Kim's regime was both unstable and dangerous. Therefore, sometime last year, probably in the wake of Roh's victory, they decided to go in on an active measures operation against the North Korean leadership class. In all probability, this was done in cooperation with the CIA and the White House.
You will notice the lack of alarm bells going off at the White House about this? Methinks this is because we have more insided information than is generally acknowledged. We know that Kim is in desperate straits.
This series of defections is designed to make the Chia Pet even more paranoid and untrusting than he already is. When he starts shooting officers, you'll know that we're near the end of the road. Eventually, the Army will move against him, but only when there are enough members of the Secret Police to cooperate in the plot in the hopes of winning a seat at the table after the coup.
Be Seeing You,
Chris
Kim say: Not fear punishment, family already sent to camp.
Maladjusted defector most welcome coming back North Korea NOW.
Got one good job for him in People's ditch crew of North Korea, no benefits.
It is true. There were at least three different sources who confirmed it after the initial report from Australia. Norbert Vollertsen, the German human right activist, Michael Horowitz of Hudson Institute in Washington D.C., a Reuter article carried in NYT about military defectors from N. Korea. I believe all their accounts to come from the same operation.
A good comment.
The S. Korean intelligence agency has been sabotaged by the left-wing appointees. Many good operatives left or were placed in dead-end jobs. At least one of them escaped to America and has been spilling beans on the sorry shape of the intelligence agency.
However, it is possible that these former operatives are now working with U.S. intelligence to bring about the project like this, without the knowledge of their superiors or the former employer.
You brought about an interesting point which has not occured to me somehow. These disgruntled operatives may not have packed up and gone home. They found new jobs which they like.:)
"This series of defections is designed to make the Chia Pet even more paranoid and untrusting than he already is. When he starts shooting officers, you'll know that we're near the end of the road. Eventually, the Army will move against him, but only when there are enough members of the Secret Police to cooperate in the plot in the hopes of winning a seat at the table after the coup."
S8, you might detect or sense this current strain of 'Pyongyang Paranoia' manifest itself somewhat through the leaked internal DPRK documents/party advisories that I put up on FR in a post awhile ago, in addition to the "Chia Pet" (Kim Jong il) visits to various KPA units, what North Korean TV broadcasts/Rodong Shinmun are saying, etc. The North Korean Central Broadcasting TV dramas lately has taken great pains to show what happened in "valiant Korean revolutionary history in the past when sellouts cooperated with imperialist US and Japanese elements." Combined with increased vigilence throughout the party and secret police, and Kim going underground near Mt. Baektu for nearly 50 days during the bombing campaign on Iraq, this stuff is for real. I also believe a number of creative resources are in fact being pulled together as we speak: increased broadcasts into North Korea. Small radios being dropped. Balloon and flyer propaganda. Defections. Aerial/satellite surveillance. Seizure of DPRK ships. Kim must know that he is being closed in on. Our psywar is taking on some of the same dimensions of our psychologically-softening up Ba'athist Iraq in the 3-4 months prior to our military strike there.
Those abject scumbags Bill Clinton or Al Gore would continue to have done nothing, save send half-witted/half-brothers to bow before Kim Il Sung's idolatrous gold statue in Pyongyang (and get co-opted perhaps by female N.K. agents in the pretty but lethal "kipmujo" units invariably assigned to 'guide' him through DPRK), or have Mad Albright dance a shameless jig in the Worker's Stadium before a Nuremburg-like NK mass performance, and other such appeasing and naive nonsense.
Thank goodness the Reagan Doctrine adults--who know a little something about the methodology of bringing down Communist walls--are in charge and the people who are good at this trade and such matters have finally been given the green light and been unchained.
We enter interesting times. The Chicoms kept this clown around just long enough to put a monkey wrench into their ambitions.
The central thrust of Chinese grand strategy has been to dominate the Western Pacific both militarily and politically. This cannot be done is Japan is provoked into naval rearmament. The combination of the U.S. Pacific Fleet and the Japanese Combined Fleet is a mountain that no Chinese leader can hope to climb.
The Chinese are not happy. If the Koreans keep going on like this, Japan's rearmament will be a foregone conclusion.
Be Seeing You,
Chris
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