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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach
For now, at least, U.S. policymakers envision Iraq as a swing producer, one that can provide just enough oil to even out world supply and demand and prop up prices. (If there were a truly free market in oil, crude would sell for $12 a bbl. or less instead of $26, and gasoline would go for less than $1 a gal.)

The authors blew this premise completely by not stating any facts to back up this specious claim, then followed it later with their own ammunition to undermine totally the "price fixing fantasy".

But in another scenario, oil prices could be pushed sharply downward, creating instability elsewhere, especially in Saudi Arabia. Which the U.S. will do almost anything to prevent—maybe.

Iraq could produce as much as 12 million bbl. daily, easily making it the world's No. 1 producer. If Iraq goes that route, the political fallout would be widespread. It would mean less money for the Russians, who are just beginning to get their economic house in order, thanks to oil exports. It would mean less money for an unstable Iran, which is suspected of developing nuclear weapons. It would mean less money for Texas oilmen and energy companies everywhere. It would mean less money for other emerging oil producers, which are betting that their more expensive-to-produce oil will be desperately needed. And most significantly, less money for Saudi Arabia.

I read this earlier on Drudge and was struck by the "price fixing fallacy". Other than the editorializing in an otherwise factual article, it makes for an informative and accurate portrayal of what will come.

The authors fail to note that crude prices have been in the low teens in the recent past, due to the only factor that controls prices....the MARKET.

12 posted on 05/11/2003 2:40:27 PM PDT by BOBTHENAILER (FReepers discover the TRUTH, and distribute it.)
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To: BOBTHENAILER
Why would Slime the no News Magazine, only the DNC propaganda mag, write this incredible long article with so many apparent half truths.
15 posted on 05/11/2003 9:16:00 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (Free Republic, where leftist liars are exposed 24/7!)
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