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There was a book written a few years ago, How Hitler Could Have Won. There were like 23 scenarios that were horrifyingly simple, but Hitler had a great ability to make the worst military decisions possible.

One thing that I think people ignore when they say, if Germany took Britain, we would have eventually won anyway. I'm not so sure. First of all, would the US have even bothered? It would have been a lot easier to make a peace with the new Nazi superstate. Also, remember, if Britain went down, you could count on Egypt going down also. Hitler would have been unchallenged in North Africa and the Middle East, once he turned his attention that way. India would also be in a very perilous position. I really think the defeat of Britain would have allowed the Nazi's a good chance of taking Russia down, at least the Ukraine. Think of the resources that would have been at Hitler's disposal!

Not just North Africa all those
French colonies would have being
Vichy for sure then and South Africia
was by then majority Boer and would
have most likely allied with Hitler.
And some the other British colonies
who have almost surely gone with
the puppet government.
All of Africia and and even India
probably would fallen to Hitler
with very little opposition.

And only would have the 1941 attack been
on time. But the occupation forces
in England would have been far less
than the large numbers of German division
than had to be stationed in Norway,
France, Holland, Belgium to guard
against the Allies, only grassions
would have left and the rest marched
to the East to conquer Russia.
Further, Greece and Yugoslavia would
have never fought the Axis and hence
those occupation forces would go
East too. Turkey would have joined
in Germany almost surely after a fall
of England. And it had a land army
and would have opened up the invasion for
the South. Persis and Afghanistan
were ready to Germany and so even Central Asis
could have been invaded in 1941.

Britian really was the key to war, if it
had fell Hitler probably would have won,
but once it held out Hitler was probably
doomed after that.