[Hoplite]

They can try to act as spoilers and foment unrest, but ultimately they will suffer the same fate as any other party that relies upon a destructive ethos rather than a constructive one.

It bears watching, in an 'export stability or import instability' kind of way, and so long as we do, I don't expect any major train wrecks (a return to full-on armed ethnic conflict).

[Jacob Kell]

"They can try to act as spoilers and foment unrest, but ultimately they will suffer the same fate as any other party that relies upon a destructive ethos rather than a constructive one."

Tell that to the Bolsheviks. They relied on a destructive ethos and succeeded in taking power and holding on to it for aobut 70 years. They eventually fell, of course, but it may not have been as etched in stone as some may have thought. Mao, Khomeini, Pol Pot's Khmer Rouge, and Fidel Castro all relied on destructive ethos and they basically succeeded in taking power. Never underestimate the enemy.

"It bears watching, in an 'export stability or import instability' kind of way, and so long as we do, I don't expect any major train wrecks (a return to full-on armed ethnic conflict)."

Maybe, but terrorism is still possible or maybe small-scale guerilla warfare, maybe very small-scale, but still a possibility.

[Jacob Kell]

Also, nowadays, you don't have to be numerous to do damage. Take a look at what McVeigh and a couple of his friends did in Oklahoma City.