[tortoise]

The only state Bush won't get is California. And if Grey Davis continues screwing up, Bush might get a clean sweep.

Yeah, California is an interesting case. It is so bad here that only the most compulsive Democrat bootlickers are still behind a State administration that has probably broken all records for how quickly a political regime can trash a state. When the Democrats make epic messes of things they do control at the same time that the Republicans are gaining an increasing amount of control everywhere else, it is a setup for a landslide.

The bottom line is that the number of nominal Democrats who can stomach the Democratic party is shrinking. They may not be immensely fond of Bush, but the Democrats are so bad that it is almost a vote against the Democrats. It isn't that the Republicans are so good (though Dubya is lefty enough that moderate Democrats can deal with him), but that the Democrats are actually that bad. But we still have quite a way until election time.

[gcruse]

But we still have quite a way until election time.

By starting the 2004 election process a year
and a half early, can you imagine how sick we
are going to be of politics by the time voting
time gets here?

[stands2reason]

Looking at polls, I'd say 37% of voters are broken-glass Dems. add 5% for voter fraud, and there's your base to work against--42%