[ewing]

Lieberman came the closest at 61-34 and factoring in margin for error that could be as low as 65-30

[PRND21]

Lieberman=Dole
Four more years

[Timesink]

Needless to say, ABCNEWS Radio at the top of the hour spun this as "Bush is in big trouble if the election ends up revolving around the economy."

[manic4organic]

Anyone notice Howard Dean wasn't even in the running? Even ol' Al Dullton beat him.

[zarf]

Yawn. As per usual, barring another 9/11, the margin will close to a hairs breath with GW inching ahead in the polls come election time. The actual vote will "shock" the establishment by being a comfortable win for GW.

Keep a close eye on the New York Times emphasising negative economic news by bringing it above the front page fold as election time nears.

[Xthe17th]

* Kucinich is going to be the Natural Law Party candidate (check the P2004 page of www.politics1.com for his endorsement by them; Fellow space-cadet John Hagelin says he isn't running)
* Dean will be Ralph Nader's Green Party running mate (my prediction)

* I also predict a Lieberman-Hart ticket. ...but then again, Al² could surprise us all.
Anyway, FUN, FUN, FUN in the '04 political sun.

[Tall_Texan]

I don't mind particularly those who want to vote for the liberal party. They desire socialism and, with any of these jokers, they'd get it.

What I don't understand are the undecideds? What the hell are THEY thinking???

[spookycc]

President George W. Bush is far ahead of the three most popular Democrats in head to head matchups, although the public still has concerns about his economic leadership and empathy for ordinary people, according to a new poll.

No kiddin'? I've seen a lot of empathy for ordinary people, especially post-9/11. That's what sold me on W to begin with.

[MattAMiller]

It's a good sign I suppose, but this is still early. A few moments ago Susan Estrich said "If early polls decided anything you'd have to call me Attorney General Estrich" which, I have to admit, is a pretty good line.

Things are going our way but we still have work to win this thing.

[IFly4Him]

I have been an amateur election watcher since 1984 - the year of Reagan's great re-election. There is a pattern that I think will play out next year as I have seen in years past.

If the incumbent is ahead in the polls once the challenger is known (in the springtime), then the President will be the electorate's "default" candidate. When the party out of power has their convention (usually first), the incumbent's lead evaporates almost overnight. If the incumbent regains the lead after Labor Day, generally the "default" candidate wins, but almost always with a margin < 10%. American Presidential elections are close. I believe that voters need an excuse to dump an incumbent, otherwise they generally fallback to the "default".

I believe this will happen again next summer. I mention it because I know many of you have high hopes that the President will win big in his re-election campaign. There is a good possibility that he will; just don't be surprised when it looks otherwise in August. The polls out now are worthless. No one knows who the Dem candidates are.

It even happened to Reagan against Mondale...

[George W. Bush]

It's over a year before these polls mean anything. These things are just filler to sell ad space, nothing more.

[Allegra]

Is it just me, or does the campaigning for this election seem to be getting under way earlier than ever? I seem to remember this kind of stuff doesn't really gear up until fall of the year before the general election at the earliest. Could this be desperation on the Democrats' part?

[JoeSchem]

Even though she hasn't announced, Hillary could run. And never underestimate the power of the Dark Side of the Force.