Latest 2003 Kentucky Governor Primary Poll (SurveyUSA)

SurveyUSA ^ | 4/29/03

[LdSentinal]

Kentucky Governor, GOP Primary

(Congressman) Ernest Fletcher: 49%
(County Executive) Rebecca Jackson: 22%
(State Representative) Stephen Nunn: 17%
(State Senator) Virgil Moore: 3%
Undecided/Other: 8%

Data Collected: 4/26/03 - 4/28/03
Geography: State of Kentucky
Universe: 524 Likely Voters
Margin of Error: 4.4%
Client: WHAS-TV Louisville/ WLEX-TV Lexington

Kentucky Governor, Dem Primary

(Attorney General) Ben Chandler: 45%
(Health Care Entrepreneur) Bruce Lunsford: 27%
(State House Speaker) Jody Richards: 14%
(Businessman) Otis Hensley: 3%
Undecided/Other: 11%

Data Collected: 4/26/03 - 4/28/03
Geography: State of Kentucky
Universe: 675 Likely Voters
Margin of Error: 3.9%
Client: WHAS-TV Louisville/WLEX-TV Lexington

[LdSentinal]

Here's the link to the previous SurveyUSA poll for Kentucky.

Kentucky

Probably one more poll will be done before the May 20 primary.

[TheErnFormerlyKnownAsBig]

How do the Rat's stack up against the GOP candidates? Do they have numbers on head to head matchups or is one party clearly ahead of the other in that state?

[LdSentinal]

Do they have numbers on head to head matchups or is one party clearly ahead of the other in that state?

They have not been doing head to head matchups. They will do them after the primary results come in and the candidates for the gubernatorial race are determined.

[Coop]

I haven't seen any post-primary polling numbers either. But the current Dem governor, Patton, has horrible approval numbers. I believe I just read where they're the worst in the state's history. So I'm giving the GOP a slight edge (granted, it's still early!) here. The gov mansions in VA in 2001 and IL in 2002 basically changed hands not so much because of the candidates but due to dissatisfaction with the incumbent party. I think that will factor into the KY race.

[Coop]

But it should be noted that registered KY Dems outnumber Pubbies almost 2:1. And one has to go back to '67-'71 to find a GOP KY governor (Louie Nunn). The state senate has 22 Pubbies to 16 Dems, while the state house has 65 Dems to 35 Pubbies.

So I may well be kidding myself that the anti-incumbent mood will be enough to overcome those numbers. We shall see.