If Gale Norton keeps screwing his rural base the way she just did ranchers in Utah, and plays to the middle in a sour economy, yes.
Gee, folks are finding an awful lot of reasons not to vote for the great "compassionate conservative". Guns, enviro issues, first amendment, abortion, big government, immigration etc. etc. on and on.
Amazing stupidity from someone who was entrusted by the good folks in all of those "red" states. It's almost as if he purposely had it in for the people most loyal to him.