Posted on 03/23/2003 9:35:22 AM PST by Clive
Concise, cogent, pointed, and true.
Then you go on to suggest ulterior motives for those nations -- but you offer absolutely no evidence. Nor do you offer any evidence for your interpretation of "severe consequences".
But never mind all that. There's only one question I'd like you to answer: If you don't believe in democracy, then just how do you think international disputes should be settled?
The news cycles of this world are incredibly short at this point in history and it's hard to keep a focus on one issue. You do realize that on an almost daily basis the Iraqi military had targeted or actually fired on Allied planes in the no fly zone, right? How often did we hear this?
From March 1, 1991 to September 12, 2002 (that is exactly 4,183 days) Saddam Hussein violated the terms of the cease fire. During those 4,183 days, the UN passed an additional 15 resolutions, or one every 278 days, to "compel" Saddam to abide by his agreement. On average every 278 days the world community realized he wasn't behaving and chastized him by writing another unenforced resolution.
How many days was it since Bush made his speech to the UN last September 12th? It was 188 days. 188 mornings that the "World Community" woke up and decided not to enforce it's cease-fire document. Do you really think that an extra 14 or even 28 days would matter to them?
4,128 days of defiance, 278 days on average between reprimand. 14 to 28 days would have made a difference? Not a chance.
A child who was born on March 1, 1991 would be 12 years old by now. A child born on March 1, 1991 would now be old enough to recognize the problem. France, Germany, Russia, Canada, and like minded people have do not have the recognition capabilities of a 12 year old. How sad.
By the way, in answer to your question in a straight forward way, a couple of weeks would not have been possible logistically. The desert heats up quick and if we were to wait until the end of April to move, the daily average temp rise to 90+ degrees in the desert. By the end of May it is closing in on 100 degrees every day.
At that point, we might have had to wait until October to move in so our guys aren't dying from the heat in a literal sense. That would be an extra eight months to keep our guys there. Eight months of stress away from the family. Eight months of stress being on alert. Eight months of paying the cost from the budget.
No, better to go when the weather is favorable and to stop the delaying tactics of Saddam.
I too am frustrated by the UN's apparent paralysis. I was scratching my head five years ago at how Saddam continued to ignore his commitments and yet the UN simply piled one resolution on another. I would have been supportive of military action years ago.
But for me, the paramount considerations are the principles of democracy and due process. (As far as I'm concerned, democracy is an axiom -- I'm not interested in debating with those who don't acknowledge it.)
As you say, this has been going on for twelve years now, so another few months more or less isn't going to make much difference, either to the UN's credibility, which is already damaged, or to the threat posed by Saddam, which IMHO was minimal from an American perspective and virtually nil as long as the inspectors were on the scene.
On the other hand, it really hasn't been that long in diplomatic terms since the United States began pressuring for military action. I believe that another few weeks or months could have made the difference. Certainly there were a number of countries who were favourably considering a resolution explicitly authorizing war after a fixed period of time (which was still being negotiated). There might have been a veto or two, but IMHO that wouldn't make much difference. A simple majority in favour would have provided enough moral authority to justify action.
Although I personally believe that war is more than justified in this case, I don't believe that one or two nations should ever arrogate to themselves the decision to invade a foreign country. I see this principle as being far more important in the long run than the small benefits to be gained by unilateral action now. If it has to wait till October, then so be it. (And I don't buy this "coalition" stuff -- everybody knows this is an American war, with the willing assistance of the Brits and a number of smaller countries going along for the ride.)
However, the battle has been joined, for better or for worse. I hope it will be quick and successful, and I hope that the blowback will be minimal -- though I fear that neither will be the case.
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