In other words, there actually has to be a new regime.....no sons, cousins, brothers of Saddam will be allowed to run a puppet regime.
I don't think that that's in the cards.
The U.S. and the Brits have said privately that the result of Saddam's flight will be a "walk in" of American, Australian, and UK forces. There is no way we'll let someone connected with Saddam, Uday, and Qusay to take over. To do so would shroud Iraq's WMD program in continued mystery.
But Saddam will not flee. To do so would be against every shred of his tribal honor. To flee Baghdad in the face of an ultimatum from a Bush, not just the Old Man, but from Bush's boy, would be a disgrace beyond measure. He would become a laughingstock among Arab men, as would his progeny. For Hussein, it is better to die than to live in the twilight of his years in eternal disgrace, subject to the browbeating of the internal security apparatus of his "host" country.
Be Seeing You,
Chris