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To: BureaucratusMaximus
The question isn't whether safety is important in the shuttle program. Of course it is important. The money spent on saftey considerations is staggering. But space travel is inherently very risky and dangerous, and there are humbling technological limitations to how much of the risk and danger can be designed out. At some point, so much money can be allocated to safety considerations that you no longer have a viable space program. You just shut it down.

When the shuttle program was first designed, it was estimated that we would lose one shuttle for every 50 launches. We're still ahead of that figure. I wish we were still far, far ahead of that figure. But it is important to keep these initial risk evaluations in mind to keep the tragedies in perspective.

For that matter, look over the history of our space program and add up the deaths of all NASA employees, contractors, and associated personnel from program and work-related accidents of all kinds. I wouldn't be surprised to discover that the shuttle crew component is a smaller or at least an unremarkable fraction of the total. We don't get excited about those other deaths, however, because they are not highlighted and displayed in the same spectacular fashion as the deaths of the shuttle crewmembers--as tragic as those deaths are.

For that matter, compute the space-travel mortality rate of all astronauts who have flown into space and compare it to the assassination mortality rate of all US presidents, or the accident mortality rate of all NASCAR drivers. Which are the riskier occupations? I don't know the actual figures, but common sense tells me the differences will not be that dramatic.

Now it may very well turn out that the shuttle disaster could have been readily and resposibly avoided had one of these safety experts been listened to. If so, the parties responsible should suffer stiff consequences. But knee-jerking ourselves to a conclusion at this early stage that the shuttles were made and maintained in a decrepit junkyard by devil-may-care teenagers and delinquents whose last consideration was safety is counterproductive and foolish.

115 posted on 02/03/2003 6:46:21 AM PST by Kevin Curry
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To: Kevin Curry
Now it may very well turn out that the shuttle disaster could have been readily and resposibly avoided had one of these safety experts been listened to. If so, the parties responsible should suffer stiff consequences. But knee-jerking ourselves to a conclusion at this early stage that the shuttles were made and maintained in a decrepit junkyard by devil-may-care teenagers and delinquents whose last consideration was safety is counterproductive and foolish.

I admire your fair approach, except I would not even dream of punishing the parties yet. A judgment call was made that could have gone either way. There has to be a reasonable man test. Could a reasonable man have weighed the same evidence and made the call they did? - We don't know if that falling foam is even the cause yet. We can't forget that. It might be, it might just be what the media thinks is the cause. NASA is being much more methodical than the media. But then, they have to be right. The media doesn't.

127 posted on 02/03/2003 6:52:00 AM PST by HairOfTheDog (I stayed at a Holiday Inn last night.)
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