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To: wretchard
How many of us drive twenty four year old cars (if we could do otherwise)?

The "car" was 21 years old when W. became President, 13 years old when Clinton took office. How old is too old? Should we have shut the program down because it was too expensive?

17 posted on 02/01/2003 6:53:50 PM PST by liberallarry
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To: liberallarry
How is old is too old? The decision to build the shuttle was being taken during the Nixon administration. How costly? It takes $10,000 to take a pound to orbit on the shuttle. How dangerous? It has been estimated that the chances of a fatal accident were between 1 in 438 to 1 in 1,000.

It has long been known that the technology exists to bring the costs down by a factor of 10 and increase safety by perhaps a factor of 100. http://www.globalsecurity.org/org/news/2001/010412-sts1.htm But for various reasons, including politics, a replacement was never built.

Now the question is whether the current level of cost and safety is acceptable in an era when we can do much better. We shut down the shuttle production line a long time ago, and there would be no point in tooling it up again to build a Nixon-era craft. There is no element of "face" in retiring the shuttle any more than there was in replacing B-707s with 747s.

An accident of this kind, given statistical probabilities, was going to happen one day. Today's the day. And not only were the lives of astronauts lost, but our access to space, which is one of the cornerstones of our national strength, has been somewhat limited. It's too old and too expensive.

34 posted on 02/01/2003 7:26:07 PM PST by wretchard
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