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To: new cruelty
What a crappy excuse for a newspaper article. Here, read this one in the San Francisco Chronicle
23 posted on 12/12/2002 12:52:40 PM PST by Revolting cat!
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To: Revolting cat!
lol, the guy at the San Jose Mercury News said this one was spot on.

maybe he said spotted on.
25 posted on 12/12/2002 12:54:51 PM PST by new cruelty
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To: Revolting cat!
Yeah, I'm nitpicky, but I'm Canadian and I live under a repressive socialist regime so I have to amuse myself somehow. Society is to blame. Anyway, all this nitpicking is done in good fun.

From the SF Chronicle:

It had to happen sooner or later for Angelo and Maria Gallina, who figure they have spent $124,000 over the years on lottery tickets.

"It had to happen sooner or later" is another statistical fallacy, commonly known as the "gambler's fallacy": the odds of winning increase the longer a losing streak goes. Nope. Each lottery is an independent event. If you've spent $124,000 on lottery tickets, the ticket bought with dollar #124,001 is no more likely to be a winner than #1 was.

Besides, even if it were true, if the odds of winning a lottery are 1 in 41 million and you've only bought $124,000 worth of tickets so far, "it had to happen sooner or later" is still probably going to come much later.

28 posted on 12/12/2002 1:10:02 PM PST by RansomOttawa
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