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Terrell lost because :

1) She didn't get 65% or better of the white vote.
( Terrell only got 62% of the white vote)
2) Sugar Thing ..Was a big ISsue and the negative ads
went un-answered.........Mary said W screwed LA with
Steel Tarrifs and now he will Screw LA with Mexcian Sugar,,,
And White voters believed Mary)
3) Mary Out Campaigned Terrell and was more polished+
Breaux help worked for Mary )
4) Terrell was all over the map on abortion..
5) O'Neill resignation on Friday was bad for Terrell....It should have been after the election.
Karl Rove and Cheney should have known better that O'Neil was Sore loser and let the media know on Friday instead of Monday.

Plus Unemployment went up o.3% ..... in Dec
In NoV Unemployment had gone down o.1%
6) Terrell's debate performances were so-so..
7) W's Bump wore off by Saturday...he needed to be in LA on Thurday,,,not Tuesday...Karl Rove screwed up again.

2) Sugar Thing ..Was a big ISsue and the negative ads went un-answered.........Mary said W screwed LA with Steel Tarrifs and now he will Screw LA with Mexcian Sugar,,, And White voters believed Mary)

I'll give you this one. The Bush we all know and love. 43 has also screwed his pooch among California conservatives in 2004 over another of his brilliant domestic policies .. open boarders.

I'll bet 43 is glad there's an electoral college.

O'Neill resignation on Friday was bad for Terrell....

I find statements like this hilarious. Typical of the "I'm a wonk, you're a wonk, wouldn't you like to be a wonk, too?" attitude that prevails among the politically informed.

NEWS FLASH: The typical voter doesn't give a hoot 'n' holler who the SecTreas is. Not one iota's worth of a d*mn.

If you ask the typical voter, in Louisiana, who Paul O'Neill is, 90% would give you a blank stare. If you asked "what do you think of Pres. Bush's replacement of Paul O'Neill at Treasury? Do you support the President or oppose his move?" 90% (or more) would say "support," because everyone knows who Pres. Bush is, everyone--even in Louisiana--supports Pres. Bush, and the assumption would be if our trusted President replaced some guy it must have been the right decision.

This had ZILCH, ZIP, ZERO, NADA, ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to do with the election results in Louisiana.

FWIW, I think your other points were good. Just this one is way, way off base.