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To: crystalk
Can you tell us more about where you are getting your data to come up with the models and the data to do your predictions using the models? Are you just operating off poll numbers or what? Do you have voter registration trends or turnout trends you are using? How do you account for the variables (presidential job approval, number of visits by him)? How many variables do you use?
249 posted on 12/07/2002 12:00:49 PM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: GraniteStateConservative
There are 19 but most of them don't change from day to day, but the Black Turnout statewide, which even yesterday was showing nearly 22 [pct of all votes cast], and now looks like not even 21, maybe just a peek over 20 even. And it seems that Orleans is the main place where that is happening.

If there is going to be a big fraudulent vote, somebody needs to stand outside these precincts this afternoon and evening and be able to say that nowhere near the number of people came in, that were said to have voted.

Another interesting factor is that this has the factor for Neither Black nor White, which no one else is looking at in Louisiana, but there do now seem to be Hispanics, Asians, and Mixed Race voters in the state, and this is now looking like over 4% of the total vote, a higher turnout than for Whites.

And it looks very good for Terrell, if I dared to say it I would say it may be more Republican than the White vote.

But Louisiana is always a fascinating study, and only in America, huh.

258 posted on 12/07/2002 12:09:26 PM PST by crystalk
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