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To: gonewt
Before 9/11 Bush's presidency was floundering and Hillary was a shoo-in for 2004. The military and terrorist situation coaleased people around Bush. If the military and terrorist situation continues, Hillary is out of the box for 2004. If it is resolved, Bush's popularity will plummet in the same way as did his father's and for the same reasons and more. At that point Hillary will take the presidency. If it is not resolved she will let a stooge take the fall instead of her in 2004 and wait for 2008. A lot of things can happen between now and 2004. A lot of things can happen between now and 2008.

That she is the most powerful force in, and owns, the Democratic party should not be doubted. She also has full support of the media. But she doesn't have control over quirks of history.

14 posted on 11/07/2002 8:20:38 AM PST by RLK
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To: RLK
Let me also add that a person in their 50s can age a lot in six years. Hillary's dynamic youthful image can deteriorate substantially. Hillary is fighting the clock, even with plastic surgery.
19 posted on 11/07/2002 8:25:18 AM PST by RLK
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To: RLK
If the military and terrorist situation continues, Hillary is out of the box for 2004. If it is resolved, Bush's popularity will plummet in the same way as did his father's and for the same reasons and more.

I disagree. 43 is a lot more interested in domestic policy than his father ever was. 41 seemed to be totally uninterested in persuing a Republican agenda on domestic issues, and he did not spend any of the political capital he gained from winning the Gulf War in such a stunning fashion. With a 91% approval rating, 41 could have gotten just about any piece of major legislation approved (like a capital gains tax cut or indexing), but he didn't. 43 seems to have learned from his father's mistakes. This last election shows he is willing to risk some of his accumulated political capital to help Republicans around the country get elected. Even Ronald Reagan was skittish about spending his political capital. In 1984 Reagan should have spent more time helping Republican candidates than trying to build a higher personal margin of victory over Mondale. If President Bush working with a Republican congress, can use the capital he as aquired as commander and chief and make substantial domestic policy gains, he will be able to win re-election regardless of whether terrorism is no longer an issue.

I must also add I don't believe the terrorism issue will be solved in this decade. We are not even at the beginning of the end.

44 posted on 11/07/2002 10:07:02 AM PST by Paleo Conservative
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