Sorry for the delay in responding, I thought I posted this a couple hours ago, then I lost FR. Looks like you guys were right. Sorry for the miss-information. The IOWA markets are not irrelevant, however. At some point over the next couple days (hopefully tonight), one of those contracts is going to go to 1$. It isn't going to happen in a ten minute span, it will build as the winner becomes more and more obvious and they run out of people willing to sell that contract for <1$. So strong upward moves in a contract
could indicate the beggining of that move.
Since I posted to you, the RH-RS number has fluctuated, but is currently at 79%. It's looking pretty good.
Of course, with Republicans winning NH & GA (and holding NC/SC), it looks good in the "real world" as well. :-)
FReegards!