[finnman69]

Zogby was right on the Presidential election but way off on some other huge races such as his Lazio over Hillary prediction.

[Reelect President Dubya]

Zogby was right on the Presidential election but way off on some other huge races such as his Lazio over Hillary prediction.

He misunderestimated the amount of Democrat election fraud in New York.

[SHKMAN1212]

I subscribe to the Zogby polls and when you look at how he arrives at his numbers it becomes clear where the major shift came from. Zogby attempts to incorporate "leaning" voters into his final numbers (which is why his numbers have few, if any, undecideds). When you pull the tabs on the individual races nearly all of the races that show big Dem games are based on including these leaning votes.

In Colorado, for example, Zogby incorporates 19.3% of leaning voters into Strickland's column while only 5.2% of leaners are applied to Allard. Now, if these less than committed voters do turn out in the numbers that Zogby predicts then his conclusions may be sound, but I really doubt his numbers end up being accurate.