Late Shift Toward Republicans in Congressional Vote (GALLUP POLL HEADLINE)

Gallup Poll ^

[Recovering_Democrat]

Gallup, of course, probably doesn't factor the ever present Voter Fraud inherit in the Democrat Party, but still, this is good news!

[Recovering_Democrat]

from the article:
The six-point Republican lead among likely voters is close to what the last CNN/USA Today/Gallup pre-election poll showed in 1994, when Republicans led 51% to 44% and went on to win 230 seats. The Republicans currently hold 223 seats

HOOOOOOOOOOO YA! If that is an omen, I am going to wake up and be very very happy come Wednesday! DON'T GIVE UP!!!!!

[#3Fan]

I'm not one to throw cold water on things but Democratic vote fraud accounted for 5% of the vote in 2000, I believe. If they get 8% this time, it won't be a good day. The Dems are talking as is they've got their 8% fraud in Florida.

[DISCO]

BURY THE DEMOCRAPS!

[spycatcher]

These polls aren't anything guaranteed, but I've been trying to convice everyone that a real seismic shift is underway over the last week. that is only now showing up in polling. The mood has changed noticeably and undecideds are all falling our way. It will only become obvious on Weds and there is no time left for the Dems to reverse the trend.

Get out the vote though to make sure it's not even close, or the RAT lawyers will swarm the court system. They need to be soundly trounced and humbled to make them embarassed to whine. The nation will have spoken just like in the Gingrich revolution and they will have to concede to the will of the people.

[spycatcher]

I think the GOP has their eyes on the ground more closely watching the fraud techniques, so the fraud campaign is harder work for them this time around.

Lots has been publicized in the news already, and that has helped increase awareness of how the RATS are still operating in a Clintonesque fashion. It's a mini-version of the Wellstone death celebration. It shows their true colors and has backfired in their faces. There is much gnashing of teeth in the DemonRat camp.

[Humidston]

Two things I'm doing -

1. VOTING,
2. PRAYING!

[#3Fan]

I hope so. I can't understand why they're so sure they're going to win Florida unless they know how many votes they've fixed.

[Stultis]

I can't understand why they're so sure they're going to win Florida unless they know how many votes they've fixed.

McAwful asserted Sunday that McMumble would win in Floriduh (despite Jeb with a double digit lead in the polls). Jeb as much as said that the Zogby result was a "shock" poll (designed to inflame rather than dispirit the Dems) and that the race was much closer. I can't believe that Floridians would toss out Jeb in favor of McBribe, but then I only feel confident speaking for living Floridians.

[#3Fan]

If the Democrats do get massive vote fraud to put them over the top over Jeb then maybe something will be done by 2004 to try and put a stop to it. These computer voting machines are absolutely the worst thing there is if you're fighting vote fraud. I don't understand why they went to computers.

[Cold Heat]

The reason the pundits are finding problems with their numbers is the fact that the undecided fall more to the party out of power.

If the trend is reversing, it means Bush's coatails are longer than they want to admit!

But hey! We already knew that!

[wewillnotfail]

I would actually forgive Floriduh if they go for Jeb. Orange juice would be back on our table instead of cider.

[Peach]

My gut says don't believe this poll. The NYT is ready to report today the GOP has made gains. What better way to galvanize liberal voters?

[ninonitti]

This shift in the polls probably has more to do with firing up the demonrats than with reality.

I'm a poll checker for our local campaign and expect them to show up by the truckfull

Pray for bad weather and long lines in the blue zone.

[chasio649]

I don't believe it either.

[GailA]

How much of a factor is weather on election day? It is supposed to be a 70% chance of rain in Memphis, mid 50's for most of the day, decreasing toward 40% rain toward evening? Memphis is another of those Demwit vote fraud havens.

[fire and forget]

Not to mention a Republican Dept. of Justice that is actually investigating vote fraud this time, much less doing so aggressively.

[anniegetyourgun]

This morning I am praying that Mondull will make a fool of himself. I don't pray that Coleman will make an old man look foolish, just that Fritzy will handle that well enough all by his bumbling and senile self.

[The Raven]

The NYT poll said the same thing but it was buried.

---

From Andrew Sullivan today:

HEAVEN: A new New York Times poll. These are always great articles because you actually get to see the editors wrestling with real data. Sometimes the data actually conflicts with the editors' left-liberal beliefs (even though they've done their best to avoid that by loading the questions). So the Rainester either a) ignores the data; b) invents the data; or c) spins the data. Sunday's poll seems to be a case of a) and c). I agree with Mickey that the headline and lede are almost laughably Rainesian. There are two statistics that leap out from the poll: the Republicans are reported to have a 47 - 40 percent lead in the generic Congressional question, with a margin of error of 5 points. That's much bigger than anything I've seen elsewhere (and I'm not sure I believe it). When you read the actual poll results, you find an even more striking story: in the first week of October, the generic question led to 43 percent Republican - 46 percent Democratic split. So a 3-point Democratic lead has reversed into a 7 point Republican lead in a month. That's big news to me. But it's buried. Why? Wouldn't that be a racier headline than a Lehrer-esque thumbsucker about everyone being worried about everything and no-one really loving either party? The Times writers even seem to recognize this aspect of the bleeding obvious. Never fear, dear reader:
[T]hat question, known as a generic ballot question, is a measure of national sentiment, and does not necessarily reflect how Americans will vote in the governor's races around the country and in the handful of close Senate and House races that will ultimately determine the control of Congress.

Phew, says the confused Times reader. And that's true as far as it goes. But doesn't a sudden big lead by one party after a neck-and-neck race for months tell you something?

[blam]

I know an 86 year old female life long Democrat who is voting Republican this time because she is afraid of terrorists, she likes GWB's 'kick-ass' attitude.