[Ed_in_LA]

A bit disppointing, insofar as this poll shows little movement from the Mason Dixon poll from 2 weeks ago showing Chambliss trailing by 6. I thought this race might be Johnson-Thune or Allard-Strickland close at this point, given all the recent talk about this race tightening into a dead heat. But all Chambliss has done is go from 6 down to 5 down -- a statisitcal hiccup.

[phillyfanatic]

Perhaps the President will rally the troops for Saxby. The gig is turnout, turnout and asking Indep. to vote for a new senator who will not vote against the Homeland Security Bill and the court choices of the President.

[Dales]

Chambliss has this race won. A poll generally will use a certain turnout model-- they know how many people generally vote who live in Atlanta, how many who live in Savannah, etc, and when they poll they will sample in a manner that gets people proportionally.

Cleland may be getting 79% of the black vote. But after Cynthia McKinney's defeat in the primary, there will be some problems for the Democrats getting the vote out in her district. They'll carry that district, but without the same turnout as has occurred in the past. The turnout model for the polls would not have any way to estimate this, and almost certainly haven't accounted for it.

Chambliss will win Georgia.