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You don't have to be a member of Mensa to understand that California has been trending heavily Democratic whereas Florida has become a true 50-50 state. Moreover, the DNC has been united in their efforts to oust Jeb, whereas W's man in California (Parsky), has done just about everything in his power to sabotage Simon's campaign.

Some pollsters are saying Bill Simon still has a chance. I'll tell you this - there are Bill Simon signs and bumper stickers all over the Central Valley! Yahoo! The only poll that counts is on Nov. 5th. The media has worked over-time writing lies and filth about our guy. But Bill Simon still marches on with head held high. BILL SIMON - YOU DA MAN! DUMP DAVIS! GO, SIMON! For victory & freedom!!!

Why is Florida considered in play while authoritative sources such as the Wall Street Journal have written off California entirely?

Florida is in play because the democrat cheating in Dade county will narrow the gap. Califorinia will go to Davis because democrat cheating will widen the gap.

THE ELECTION IS IN 8 DAYS
AND I CAN'T VOTE.

PLEASE, HELP TAKE BACK THE SENATE.
IT'S "FOR THE PUPPIES!"

TakeBackCongress.org

A resource for conservatives who want a Republican majority in the Senate

Some random thoughts (some already mentioned):

Jeb and Simon are conservatives, who the media is sworn to destroy both because of who they are personally and who they are politically.
There's the fraud issue, not taken into scientific account in polls. Even if it were, unless and until it is prosecuted, it will play a larger role in each succeeding election, as is being proven nationwide.
At least in the earlier Kalifornica polls (yes, I read today's numbers that suggest that it's out of reach), the media followed the Klintonista method of saying that any margin in favor of the lieberal was significant and anything beyond the margin of error is a lock.
Once Pete Wilson pissed away the "moderate-to-conservative" portion of the Latino vote, Kalifornica ceased to be a state where any Republican could win a statewide race (yes, this includes Riordan). It is now as reliably-DemonRATic as Taxachussetts.

Why is Florida considered in play while authoritative sources such as the Wall Street Journal have written off California entirely?

I think it's pretty obvious from your previous recitation of the facts. Florida is a swing state that is balanced on a knife edge between Republicans and Democrats. It is also the critical state in deciding which party will win the Presidency. So huge amounts of money will be spent by both sides to try to win the governorship. At the moment Jeb Bush has a significant but not-insurmountable lead, due largely to his incumbency.

California has turned into a heavily Democrat state in which Republicans would require a major miracle to win. They have been given a minor political miracle, in that Gray Davis is one of the most corrupt and incompetent and despised governors in the state's history. Unfortunately for the Republicans they selected an incompetent, amateur candidate to oppose Davis. And Simon has been unable or unwilling to put enough of his own money into his campaign to compete with the enormous warchest Davis has extorted out of special interest groups.

If California had been a closely-balanced swing state like Florida, Davis would long ago have been toast, even given all of Simon's shortcomings as a candidate. Instead Davis has a substantial lead in a race which may or may not tighten up as we approach election day.