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Brown poll: York leading Carcieri for governor [RI]
Providence Journal ^ | 10/22/02 | Jack Perry

Posted on 10/22/2002 9:37:58 AM PDT by BlackRazor

Brown poll: York leading Carcieri for governor

10/22/2002

By JACK PERRY

projo.com staff writer

PROVIDENCE / 11:55 a.m. -- A new Brown University poll shows Democrat Myrth York leading Republican Don Carcieri by 7 percentage points in a tightening race for governor -- but a quarter of those surveyed were still undecided.

The same polls shows that 62 percent of the voters surveyed want embattled House Speaker John Harwood to resign.

The survey also shows that a growing number of Rhode Island voters believe the state is moving in the wrong direction.

And the poll found that Rhode Island voters are divided about military action in Iraq that would try and remove Saddam Hussein from power.

The survey was conducted over the previous three days -- Oct. 19-21 -- at Brown University by Darrell M. West, director of the Taubman Center for Public Policy and the John Hazen White, Sr. Public Opinion Laboratory. It is based on a statewide random sample of 418 likely voters in Rhode Island. Overall, the poll had a margin of error of about plus or minus 5 percentage points.

In the race for governor, York still holds a lead, but West senses a tightening race. York was favored by 41 percent of the voters, while Carcieri was favored by 34 percent. Twenty-five percent are undecided.

"We found that York still has a lead, but the race it tightening up compared to where it was a month ago," West said. "I expect this to be a competitive race to the end."

As evidence that the race is getting closer, West pointed to a Channel 12 poll shortly after the primary that showed York with a 14 percent lead. He also noted a Carcieri poll last week that showed York ahead by 3 points.

Some have speculated that York has decided to launch negative television ads against Carcieri because she senses Carcieri is catching up.

West isn't surprised that 25 percent of the voters haven't made up their minds with Election Day two weeks away.

"When candidates start attacking each other, in the short run, it freezes the electorate," West said.

Harwood received poor marks all around. The House Speaker has been embroiled in a controversy over a worker's compensation settlement and sexual harrasment allegations involving state worker Wendy Collins.

Sixty-two percent of voters believe that Harwood should step down as speaker, 16 percent do not and 22 percent are unsure.

"He's now Public Enemy No. 1," West said. "Two-thirds of the voters want him to resign. That's a big number."

When asked to rate his performance as House Speaker, 13 percent of the voters surveyed said Harwood was doing an excellent or good job, 18 percent felt he was doing only fair, 44 percent believed his job performance was poor, and 25 percent were unsure.

In a June survey by Brown, 25 percent said Harwood was doing a good or excellent job, 21 percent said his job performance was only fair, 23 percent described it as poor, and 31 percent were unsure.

The statewide poll did not break out how voters in Harwood's Pawtucket district feel about him. He faces a challenge Nov. 6 from write-in candidate Bruce Bayuk.

The poll also chronicled a growing pessimism in Rhode Island. Fifty-two percent believe the state is headed off on the wrong track, while 33 percent say it is going in the right direction. Last June, 43 percent felt the state was headed in the right direction, while 43 percent believed it was off on the wrong track.

Voters are divided about U.S. military action in Iraq that would try and remove Saddam Hussein from power. Forty-seven percent approved military action, 32 percent disapproved it, and 21 percent were undecided.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Rhode Island
KEYWORDS: carcieri; governor; rhodeisland; york

1 posted on 10/22/2002 9:37:59 AM PDT by BlackRazor
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To: conservative_2001; Coop; rightwingbob; DeaconBenjamin; Congressman Billybob; Vis Numar; mwl1; ...
Poll Ping!

Twenty-five percent undecided! This is still anyone's race.

If you want on or off my poll ping list, let me know!

2 posted on 10/22/2002 9:39:05 AM PDT by BlackRazor
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Comment #3 Removed by Moderator

Comment #4 Removed by Moderator

To: William Creel
Wait, did they survey likely voters, the undecideds tend to be high if they just survey the general voters.

According to the article, it was likely voters.

5 posted on 10/22/2002 9:54:24 AM PDT by BlackRazor
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To: BlackRazor
More importantly, did they poll the cemetary vote?
It doesn't matter what the live voters think in Rhode Island.
6 posted on 10/22/2002 10:13:29 AM PDT by the gillman@blacklagoon.com
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To: BlackRazor
This poll was taken before Yorke ran a negative ad that could likely hurt her. Word on the local talk shows is that she's in trouble. Nothing here about the Kennedy/Rogers race, which probably means Rogers is way behind. Too bad.
7 posted on 10/22/2002 10:30:47 AM PDT by Nancie
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To: Torie; Free the USA; deport
@
8 posted on 10/22/2002 3:50:43 PM PDT by KQQL
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