New Hampshire - Gore, 46 percent - Bush, 42 percent - Nader, 2 percent - Buchanan, 1 percent Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 600 LV, MoE 4 percentage points, Research 2000
Bush 48.2%
Gore 47.0%
Nader 3.9%.
The poll underestimated Bush's support and Nader's support--between the poll and the actual election, the media was hammering Bush over the 1976 DUI story, and the Democrats were pressuring Nader supporters to vote for Gore.
Bob Smith might be able to persuade some of his followers to vote for Sununu, but maybe he doesn't care if the Democrats retain control of the Senate.