Sad thing is, Bill Clinton would probably win at a walk.
Note to Pataki: No matter how far you are ahead, do not let up your foot from McCall's neck. Do not worry about offending the black vote by winning too big. There is no such thing as winning too big. Grind McCall into the dust now and worry about patching things up with the black vote later.
With Golisano in the race, things are too unsettled. You may lose 20% of your support to Golisano on election day. You have to be up by that much and more.
You goal should be that McCall comes in third.