That would be something to see. I'm curious...who do you think will get more of the black vote? Hillary because she's a Democrat, or Condi because she'd be the first black president? I'd guess Hillary, but not by much.
Naturally, the Democrat, even if white, will take more of the black vote.
It's the margin that kills a Democrat in this race. Against Hillary, Condi would do no worse than take 40% of the black vote. By this time, she'll have been Vice-President for four years while Hillary will be old news. A Democrat, to win nationally, must hold the Republican to below 20 of the black vote, all other 2000 demographics being equal. Otherwise, he or she tanks in the electoral college. Push the Republican down to single digits as Gore did to Bush and you actually make a game of it.
Condi has stronger national defense credentials and describes herself as a Second Amendment Absolutist: I'm giving her white males already.
If Condi splits with Hillary among white females (she will come across to other women as more trustworthy than the Hildebeast), and scores well among black voters, she romps across the Electoral College.
Give her 45-55 percent of Hispanics, and perhaps higher numbers amongst Asians.
Finally, I look for Condi to hold Republicans to near 92-95 percent levels. About the same level as Bush had, iirc.
Be Seeing You,
Chris