I guess I could say "You weren't paying attention to the goings-on here on FR during the last couple of election cycles."
My point was that we ALWAYS get these sorts of parsing of data, concluding that "the Dems are on the run."
And when the smoke clears, you have Algore winning the popular vote by at least half a million votes. You have the Republicans losing the Senate.
Perhaps you analysis is correct--but then I remember all our internal pundits sneering at the Zogby Polls that continually predicted a close race for President in 2000, because "Democrats are changing their registration to Republican all over the country."
Good luck to your man in MD.
I don't know what you're talking about. My guess is you select a few comments from uninformed FReepers. Yes, there were plenty of folks crowing about a blowout in 2000, especially an electoral blowout. And the possibility was there - until the DWI revelation. There were also plenty of us (me especially) telling everyone not to get cocky, often to no avail.
But all the national polls showed a very close Presidential race, and that's exactly what we got. It would have been even closer in the total national count if not for the bogus Florida call. All the polls showed GOP incumbent Senators in danger (though some, like in Michigan, broke hard for the Dems in the last few weeks), and darned if all of the Pubbies didn't go down to defeat.
So it would seem that I do pay attention to what's going on around here, both now and the last few election cycles.