Posted on 08/27/2002 9:44:32 AM PDT by john bell hood
Recent signs of weaker growth, from purchasing managers to the leading indicators, are clearly of concern. However, productivity remains strong, real interest rates remain near zero, initial unemployment claims remain on a downtrend, housing is setting a record pace, and for the first time in almost two years, business investment in equipment and software turned positive this spring. More importantly, past data suggest that "fits and starts" are normal. The ISM index bounced up and down like a yo-yo throughout the 1990s, yet we experienced the longest sustained recovery in U.S. history. Why should this time be any different?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.