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ASTEROID TO MISS -- THIS TIME AROUND!!!
BBC News ^ | 7/29/2002 | Dr. David Whitehouse

Posted on 07/29/2002 12:13:09 PM PDT by Sen Jack S. Fogbound

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Monday, 29 July, 2002, 11:51 GMT 12:51 UK

Asteroid to miss - this time around

It has been called the most threatening object in space

By Dr David Whitehouse


BBC News Online science editor

Astronomers have ruled out an Earth impact from asteroid 2002 NT7 on 1 February 2019 - but they say, as yet, future collisions have not been completely excluded.

2002 NT7, a two-kilometre-wide (1.4 miles) chunk of rock, was discovered on 9 July. Initial estimates of its orbit suggested there was a small chance of it colliding with our planet in 17 years' time.

However, the latest observations accumulated over the last few days have confirmed the asteroid will fly harmlessly by.

Dr Don Yeomans, of the US space agency's (Nasa) Jet Propulsion Laboratory, said: "We can now rule out any impact possibilities for 1 February 2019."

Uncharted space

But further work needs to be done to confirm that 2002 NT7 is not a threat further into the future.

Dr Yeomans added: "While we cannot completely rule out an impact possibility for 1 February 2060, it seems very likely that this possibility will soon be ruled out as well."

Analysts expect that it will be several more weeks before new observations allow a much better picture to emerge about 2002 NT7's future movements.

This is because no past observations - that could be used to pinpoint its trajectory - have been found in astronomical archives. This is because the asteroid's unusual orbit takes it into regions of space that are seldom surveyed.

But astronomers say that their concern about 2002 NT7 has not evaporated completely.

Media debate

According to Dr Benny Peiser, of Liverpool John Moores University, UK, we should not be celebrating too quickly.

"It would be prudent to caution interested observers that further observations in the near future could result in new impact dates," he told BBC News Online.

"There is even a very small possibility that the next set of observations may lead to new impact dates and a prolonged period of fluctuating impact probabilities, before the object will eventually be dropped," he said.

The intense worldwide interest in 2002 NT7 has prompted a debate in the astronomical community.

Following the object's discovery, and the realisation that it could strike the Earth in 2019, astronomers decided to make no announcement whilst they monitored the situation.

Some astronomers have been unhappy with what they see as alarmist reporting in the media, and they say that the policy on public disclosure of such information should be reviewed.



TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2002nt7; asteroid; asteroids; collision
Whew! We don't have to worry about this one after all! Maybe!
1 posted on 07/29/2002 12:13:09 PM PDT by Sen Jack S. Fogbound
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To: Sen Jack S. Fogbound
I'm pretty confident though that even if we had learned it would be on a trajectory to hit Earth as early as 19 years from now that we'd be able to figure out a way to push it out of the way (or whatever) by then.
2 posted on 07/29/2002 12:25:31 PM PDT by Humbug
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To: Sen Jack S. Fogbound
It's the one we don't see, the one that's going to hit in 2012 that will really hurt.
3 posted on 07/29/2002 12:27:37 PM PDT by Wm Bach
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To: Wm Bach
That thing is too valuable to waste! Get it into Earth orbit where it can be used!
4 posted on 07/29/2002 12:35:09 PM PDT by Coyoteman
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To: Sen Jack S. Fogbound
@#$%@$%@. I maxed out my credit cards last week after the news broke. bummer.
5 posted on 07/29/2002 12:52:01 PM PDT by tm61
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To: Wm Bach
I'm a 14 year old boy and i just love astronomy. I study this stuff and i also believe in the bible. I been hearing that the world would end in 2012. I think that a asteroid will hit us. I mean that this world is changing a lot in my eyes. Many adults don't see whats happening in there lives. I also think that there's going to be a ice age soon since a ice shelf broke off a couple months ago. Well like i was saying i think that there's a asteroid or comet on its way soon because this world is full of hate and anger. If you notice that this world is changing( more earthquake, tsunami's, more wars, and peace finally happening with in the one part of the middle east) so i think that there's a comet on the way and it will hit 2012, because even i saw someone on the history channel predict a asteroid to hit in 2012. My God bless you all!!!
6 posted on 02/07/2005 11:13:40 PM PST by ss4gogeta
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To: Sen Jack S. Fogbound

Dang...I guess I'd better go ahead and plan to do my taxes that year, then.


7 posted on 02/07/2005 11:15:17 PM PST by Allegra ("They Just Love to Walk in the Middle of the Road!")
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To: Sen Jack S. Fogbound

WE'RE ALL GOING TO DIE!!!










...eventually.


8 posted on 02/07/2005 11:17:50 PM PST by MediaMole
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To: ss4gogeta

Hello!
Well, it is true that there are many parts of the world which are being dameged by nature or even human, yet, there are actually no more earthquakes, no more tsunami's, no more wars,... then before. More or less it is only a feeling, because we're just more informed and awared. The second thing is, that there are too many people on our little Earth and they (we) built flats, houses, buildings,... everywhere without any care. Not so many years ago, there were areas which were not inhabited and were flooded constantly - after a few years many people inhabited those areas without checking out about flood and such things...


9 posted on 06/13/2005 6:01:33 AM PDT by matej
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To: Sen Jack S. Fogbound

It looks like this article was reported on July 29, 2002. Did the BBC just report on it?


10 posted on 06/13/2005 6:08:45 AM PDT by tubebender (Growing old is mandatory...Growing up is optional)
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