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To: RightWhale
We can only hope they will like what they have in 2102.

From everything I can gather, they reckon this should take place in 35 to 50 years. Some reckon sooner of course.

The interesting thing about the timeline is because of the exponential effect of doubling computer speeds, they reckon we will only be half way to the coming singularity when we're only 6- 12 months away from it. People won't even realize. The last doubling effect will carry us much further than we would've imagined in a very short space of time.

When we invent the first computer that is just a wee bit more intelligent than us- it can begin to design the next computer and that one can design the next one ad infinitum until within a couple years time computers are so much more intelligent than us it'll make us look- well- silly. If the computers are benign, they will quickly compute all the solutions to all the things that concern mankind- longevity, cure for disease etc and possibly even show us how to become super intelligent or "trans-human" (I believe is the phrase that many Singularity enthusiasts like to use). After that, supposedly we would become like gods ourselves and could no longer be considered the same species and life after that point is simply unimaginable by the contemporary human of today- hence it being called "The Singularity"- a point it is impossible to see past or speculate beyond.

21 posted on 07/23/2002 3:54:26 PM PDT by Prodigal Son
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To: Prodigal Son
Economics will limit post-singularity creatures, too. At best they will flood out into space until they run out of resources. At worst they will remain a laboratory curiosity. For most people they won't matter. Unless there comes a turf war between machine and man. It is too easy to underrate man because we each act so dense and stupid a lot of the time, but man will win the turf war. Also, most won't choose to become Borg, mainly because it's going to be a lot of work and not worth the effort. A few might go that route, but they won't amount to much.

What we have in 2102 won't be post-singularity existence, but a much less-developed version, probably with State control of all the citizens like in our worst nightmares.

25 posted on 07/23/2002 4:16:35 PM PDT by RightWhale
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