PEACE PROJECT MAY 2002 SURVEY (Israel 74% Support Peace, 24% Expect It)

IMRA ^ | 6-28-02

[SJackson]

PEACE PROJECT MAY 2002 SURVEY

[IMRA note: The Peace Index Project is an important resource for following trends in Israeli public opinion. In particular, the monthly repetition of a core set of questions over the years provides a unique data base for researchers. A recent commentary by Aaron Lerner of IMRA that appeared in The Jerusalem Post noted that the survey finds most support the "peace process" but only a minority support Oslo. The Steinmetz center consistently provides both results. Unfortunately, many supporters of Oslo who cite the support for the "peace process" decline to mention the lacks of support for Oslo.]

The Peace Index Project is conducted by the Tami Steinmetz Center for Peace Research at Tel Aviv University, headed by Prof. Ephraim Yaar and Dr. Tamar Hermann and executed by the Tel Aviv University's B. I. Cohen Institute. Results are shown for 28-30 May 2002.

The survey details below covers the representative sub-sample of adult Jewish Israelis for the core questions

1. Do you believe or not believe that in the coming years there will be peace between Israel and the Arabs? Certain there will be peace 5.1% Think there will be peace 19.0% In the middle 11.1% Think there will not be peace 29.6% Certain there will not be peace 34.0% Do not know 1.2%

2. In general, do you consider yourself a supporter or opponent of the peace process between Israel and the Arabs? Greatly opposed 8.3% Considerably opposed 7.9% In the middle 9.1% Considerably supportive 32.7% Greatly supportive 40.6% Do not know 1.4%

3. What is your opinion on the agreement that was signed in Oslo between Israel and the PLO (Agreement of Principles)? Heavily in favor 5.1% Considerably in favor 16.2% In the middle 18.8% Considerably opposed 17.8 Heavily opposed 32.9% Do not know 9.1%

4. Do you believe or not believe that the Oslo Agreement between Israel and the PLO will bring about peace between Israel and the Palestinians in the coming years? Greatly believe 1.6% Considerably believe 10.1% Middle 8.3% Considerably do not believe 26.1% Completely do not believe 48.2% Do not know 5.7%

5. What is your position regarding the carrying out of negotiations between Israel and the Palestinian Authority? Heavily in favor 22.6% Considerably in favor 39.8% Considerably opposed 17.4 Heavily opposed 16.0% Do not know 4.2%

6. Do you believe or not believe that negotiations between Israel and the Palestinian Authority will bring about peace between Israel and the Palestinians in the coming years? Greatly believe 6.7% Considerably believe 29.2% Considerably do not believe 29.6% Completely do not believe 30.6% Do not know 3.8%

7. Do you believe or not believe that in the coming years there will be peace between Israel and Syria? Certain there will be peace 3.0% Think there will be peace 20.4% In the middle 17.8% Think there will not be peace 30.4% Certain there will not be peace 24.3% Don't know 4.2%

8. What is your position regarding support for a full peace treaty between Israel and Syria in exchange for full withdrawal from the Golan Heights? Greatly in favor 10.1% Considerably in favor 14.2% In the middle 10.3% Considerably opposed 16.0% Greatly opposed 45.3% Do not know 4.2%

Translated to English by Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis) (mail POB 982 Kfar Sava) Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730 INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il ARCHIVE/Subscribe: http://www.imra.org.il