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Wow some of these gay conspiracy theories are a little out there.

I think Edmunds is involved and here is my theory.
If Elizabeth did have some obsessed acquaintance that has "close" ties to elizabeth or is a family member then why did he just so happen to pick the exact week to abduct/rape Elizabeth that coincides exactly with the week that this drifter showed up and started tons of bizarre/typical weirdo behavior all over the Smart's town? Way too much of a coincidence IMO.

This is what I think happened. Edmunds the transient goes from neighborhood to neighborhood and decides to crash in this neighborhood for whatever reason. During the day he cruises around town for food/milk and maybe money stealing opportunites. Today his ex-girlfriend on the news said he had a drug problem. He gets the itch for some drugs, but doesn't have much money to obtain any. Low and behold one of the more lavish homes he just so happened to cruise by in his Saturn has their garage wide open. He sneaks in and hides in the basement or somewhere in there. The Smarts leave to do whatever and close the garage. He goes into the house looking for expensive things to pawn while everyone is gone or waits til they go to sleep to look around. While looking in the house for food or money he sees pictures of the beautiful Elizabeth all over the place. She is just too pretty to pass up. He figures out where the girls bedroom is and waits. Transients don't have too many girlfriend options and this may have been some sexual frustration outlet.

He goes in and takes Elizabeth but uh oh? What happens if they put on the home alarm system and it goes off when he tries to open the door to leave with elizabeth? The garage is now closed. Luckily the smarts left a vertical window on the first floor open so all he has to do is cut it from the INSIDE and escape with Elizabeth.

On msnbc or fox a man mentioned that abductors or killers a lot of times are so consumed with guilt that they typically abuse alcohol or drugs in huge amounts after doing something very very bad. He brought up the Richard Speck Case. The guy who murdered all those nurses in Chicago I think. How did he get caught? He was found in a hospital of a DRUG OVERDOSE right after the mass killings.

If Edmunds did it then the girl died probably right after he raped her. He didn't have a home to lock her up or keep her hancuffed alive for a week of sexual slavery. Some abductors keep victims alive for sex/torture purposes until it becomes too risky. He also showed up at the vigil, so where could he keep elizabeth alive? I don't think he would risk being spotted with a missing girl whose face is plastered everywhere and the police are looking for, so she is dead if he is involved.

Give him a lie detector test and if he is involved he should fail worse than O.J. Especially if he has this guilt ridden drug overdose and/or suicide attempt.