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New Hampshire 1st.
While the Democrats have rallied around well-funded state legislator Martha Fuller Clark as their nominee, the Republicans are headed for a messy September primary. That enhances Democratic chances. But once the Republicans get a standard-bearer and focus on Clark's legislative record, any Democratic advantage will melt away quickly. But until that melting begins and the Republicans have a candidate, this is a tossup.

It has been real messy so far....and the quality of the candidates is not too great. The latest entry, with a good shot because the others are so poor.....which prompted some Repubs to recruit him is the son of a former, though fairly conservative, Democrat State Senator. I believe he worked in the Dukakis campaign.

Had Mike Chema explained to his wife (and gotten her on board) earlier that running for Congress would mean he wouldn't be home for supper some nights, this race wouldn't be a toss-up.

I can't believe he dropped out. His group of workers helped the Wiz win his Executive Coucilor election. He also had a great relationship with the Bush team in D. C. I think he was finance chairman of Bush 2000 in NH. Also, his military background was a nice line item on his political resume. I hope he decides to try again, but I'm sure plenty of his supporters are disillusioned by how it all fell apart so quickly.