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To: cogitator

But you need a mechanism for cooling.

Albedo(clouds & dust),

IR irradiation from surface absorbed in 1st hundred feet of atmosphere where it is predominately dissipated as kinetic energy.

Transport of heat from the surface to the upper atmosphere by convection dominated by

released radiant energy to stratosphere and on into space.

downward directed re-radiant IR is absorbed in the upper region of the atmosphere dissappated as kinetic energy not returning to the surface except by convection of cold air.

The role of CO2 is minimal by virtue of the near total absorption of IR in a very short path of troposphere. Adding more CO2 does not increase the capacity of air to absorb more IR at CO2 wavelengths, its just more molecules in the mass, same is true of NH4 & CFC's. Watervapor(latent heat), N2 & O2 kinetic energy are the dominant and overwhealming factors transporting heat from the surface to the statosphere where re-radiative loss becomes the dominant transport to space.

Shine a light an opaque sheet of paper, it is all absorbed. Add a second sheet behind it, no additional effect. the 1st hundered feet of atmosphere extinguishes IR absorbable by atmospheric CO2. There is nothing left to render an effect on global temperature by increasing the level of CO2 or other minority GHG gases.

142 posted on 05/31/2002 2:25:59 PM PDT by ancient_geezer
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To: ancient_geezer
But you need a mechanism for cooling.

Albedo(clouds & dust),

IR irradiation from surface absorbed in 1st hundred feet of atmosphere where it is predominately dissipated as kinetic energy.

Transport of heat from the surface to the upper atmosphere by convection dominated by
- N2 & H2 kinetic energy &
- water vapor(latent heat of vaporization/sublimation)

released radiant energy to stratosphere and on into space.

downward directed re-radiant IR is absorbed in the upper region of the atmosphere dissappated as kinetic energy not returning to the surface except by convection of cold air.

The role of CO2 is minimal by virtue of the near total absorption of IR in a very short path of troposphere. Adding more CO2 does not increase the capacity of air to absorb more IR at CO2 wavelengths, its just more molecules in the mass, same is true of NH4 & CFC's. Watervapor(latent heat), N2 & O2 kinetic energy are the dominant and overwhealming factors transporting heat from the surface to the statosphere where re-radiative loss becomes the dominant transport to space.

The main reason that I'm responding to this is that your original contention was this:

I find it interesting that out of all the range provided, the GW folks never present or even apparently consider the possibility that global climate temperatures can fall as well as rise. This is a telling note. They appear to be totally dedicated to demonstrating rising global temperture inspite of historical evidence that climates tempertures make excursions downward even with atmospheric CO2 concentrations much higher than even those assumed doublings of IPCC's GCM story lines.

Of all the mechanisms that you propose above, the only one that is capable of producing a significant global cooling is a change in albedo. As we've mentioned Mt. Pinatubo, an additional short-term mechanism is blocking of incoming solar radiation by atmospheric (volcanic, in this case) aerosols.

The significant global cooling mechanisms are those which substantially alter the Earth's radiation budget. Milankovitch forcing is therefore climatically significant because it's directly responsible for changes in the amount of solar insolation. Obviously, if the Sun's energy output was to decrease, that too would result in reduced insolation and therefore cooling. The most-commonly-held explanation for the "Little Ice Age" was a decrease in solar output during the Maunder sunspot minimum, and thus there was no Earth-based cooling mechanism. (I will note from a brief perusal of abstracts of the AGU Spring meeting, where I found the Wentz and Schabel MSU data re-analysis papers, indicates that the Maunder Minimum - LIA cause-effect relationship is not community consensus.)

A lot of people ask about the Ice Age - CO2 relationship. It appears that CO2 acts as a thermostat, but it is not the cause of major warming or cooling trends: insolation is. Once there has been a climatic shift, however, either elevated or reduced atmospheric CO2 concentrations act to maintain either a cold or warm climate, and cause 'resistance' to internal global temperature shifts. This is augmented by oceanic feedbacks, specifically iron input to the ocean via continental dust transport.

As an aside, it's interesting to me that we have different perspectives. My dalliance in geochemistry allowed me to see "beyond" chemistry; climate, specifically paleoclimate, shows the interaction and complexity of Earth's physical processes.

162 posted on 06/14/2002 10:28:37 AM PDT by cogitator
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