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Bush's secret weapon
Guardian ^ | May 6, 2002 | Sharon Krum

Posted on 05/06/2002 1:38:30 AM PDT by Prodigal Son

Condoleezza Rice once described her childhood as one where she couldn't sit at the lunch counter at Woolworths, but her parents still told her she could grow up to be president. Racism and segregation ruled her world in the deep south, but inside the Rice home, the great American myth prevailed.

Stay in school, work hard, trust in God, and yes, you - a little black girl from Birmingham, Alabama - might actually move into the White House. One can only imagine the howls of laughter this would have elicited from the Rice's white neighbours.

Well, as the old saying goes, look who's laughing now. That former little black girl is suddenly being talked about - without a trace of irony - as a serious contender for the Republican vice-presidential nomination in 2004, and Bush's secret weapon for a second term. As an idea it's both strategically brilliant and a public relations dream, which explains why the buzz around Rice is starting to sound like an army of crickets on a hot summer night.

"Putting the first African-American woman on the ticket would be historic, no doubt," says Marie Wilson, founder of the White House Project, a lobby group working to put a woman in the White House by 2008. She mentions Elizabeth Dole's failed Republican candidacy in 2000, recalling that she "attracted women to her candidacy who didn't agree with her politics".

Which is exactly the thinking behind putting Rice on the ticket in 2004. Assuming Vice-President Dick Cheney doesn't run due to ill health (he has chronic heart trouble), pairing another big-money white guy with George Bush would be nothing but a yawn. But nominating Rice, the current National Security Adviser who, since September 11, has emerged as one of the most prominent and hawkish strategists in the US war on terrorism, would be another story.

She would be the first African-American and only the second woman (Democrat Geraldine Ferraro ran for VP in 1984) on a major party presidential ticket. And the hype that double whammy would create on the campaign trail is proving irresistible to kingmakers whose job it is to explore such possibilities. So too is the prospect of peeling away thousands of women and black voters from the Democratic party, not to mention beating them at their own game. Conventional wisdom has long held that the first woman in the White House, like the first black American, would be a Democrat.

"Since September 11, foreign policy has been catapulted to the top of the national agenda, giving Rice a lot of visibility, credibility and authority," says Wilson. "The fact that she is so hawkish actually gives her a strong chance of making it on to the ticket. Because when it comes to the crunch, men always ask one thing about women running for high office: how would she handle a war?"

Rice is an anomaly in Republican corridors of power, which have long been dominated by a white, wealthy, old boys' network. While her politics veer hard right on foreign policy, she has admitted to being "pro-choice evangelical" and "almost shockingly libertarian" or "moderate" on other issues. There is no question her views on abortion (consistent with libertarian politics) would inflame the Christian wing of the party. Yet the consensus, in a post-September 11 world, is that her expertise in handling foreign policy would trump those concerns. And as polls have consistently shown, in federal elections abortion is never a make-or-break issue.

But her incongruity in a party that attracted only 10% of the black vote in the last election may also be her greatest asset. Just think of the media coverage - not to mention the repercussions for Bush's own reputation. Bill Kristol, editor of a conservative magazine, the Weekly Standard, says: "President Bush really wants to make the Republican party more inclusive to both African-Americans and women. If he put Condi on the ticket it would assert a boldness on his part that he is serious about opening the party up."

Nominating Rice would make Bush look good, but would it give the Republicans some traction where they sorely need it, closing the race and gender gap? Research shows American women vote left in greater numbers than men. Yet soccer moms and urban female professionals, says Wilson, may well throw their weight behind Rice, seduced by the idea of "creating" women's political history. Would the feminist community support Rice for the same reason?

"I doubt it," says Wilson. "The women's community doesn't vote for women just based on gender. They would need to know where Rice stands on issues such as health care, affirmative action and abortion before they give her their vote."

Given that Rice has never held elective office, her stance on those issues can only be gleaned from interviews. On health care she has said nothing, but when she was provost of Stanford University she once commented: "I say in principle that I don't believe in, and in fact will not apply, affirmative action in promotions." But her pro-choice views, anathema to religious Republicans, could score her major points with feminists.

The black community, however, might be more easily divided. Kristol says a Rice nomination, which by definition would put her in the pipeline for the presidency in 2008, might seriously galvanise black America in spite of her arch-conservative views. "A Rice vice-presidency would be so incredibly historic. It's entirely possible she would attract a higher percentage of black votes."

Rice, 47, grew up in segregated Alabama, the only child of parents whose focus was education and religion. A prodigy who spoke four languages and skipped two grades, Rice enrolled in university at 15, graduated at 19 and earned her doctorate in political science in her mid-20s, specialising in Russia. Considered one of the foremost experts in Sovietology, Rice taught at Stanford then worked on nuclear strategic planning for the joint chiefs of staff. She served in the first Bush administration as director of Soviet and east European affairs on the National Security Council.

She left Washington to return to Stanford as provost, only to be lured back to politics by the younger Bush, serving as his campaign adviser on foreign policy. Some have suggested that she tutored him from scratch, a charge she vigorously denies.

One year after joining the Bush team, Rice, who is unmarried, has emerged as one of his closest advisers, heavily influencing his dealings with Russia, the Balkans and Israel, as well as his denunciation of the now infamous "axis of evil". As National Security Adviser, she is said to exert the most sway with a president since Henry Kissinger.

"I am a realist," she said recently, describing her stance on global conflict. "Power matters. But there can be no absence of moral content in American foreign policy, and furthermore, the American people wouldn't accept such an absence. Europeans giggle at this and say we're naive and so on, but we're not Europeans, we're Americans - and we have different principles."

While the idea of a black woman from the segregated south becoming a conservative vice-president is irresistible to the press, the reality is that Rice is a foreign-policy wonk. She has never publicly declared a domestic agenda, nor held elective office. Although the Democrats would cry foul, Kristol says a Bush/Rice ticket is too brilliant an idea for the president to ignore.

"He respects her, he is comfortable with her, and he is very interested in closing the gender and the race gap. She could help him do that. Not to mention that running with her would make history."

So who then does Al Gore, who, despite his defeat, is still considered one of the front-runners for the Democratic nomination in 2004, choose as his own running mate to put up a fight against the inevitable Bush/Rice media frenzy? Hillary, perhaps?


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: condoleezzarice; election
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I figure it'll be until after this year's elections before we hear anything one way or another from the administration on this subject. It's fun to think about though and I can't wait to see the kinds of gyrations the democrats and the media have to go through when they're dealing with this topic and with Dr Rice.
1 posted on 05/06/2002 1:38:30 AM PDT by Prodigal Son
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To: Prodigal Son
I was in the shower this morning thinking about this very thing. If VP Cheney decides not to run again, I would really hope that Rice is picked. The party needs somebody in line to run for president in 2008. I think it's safe to say that Cheney won't be doing that. Then again, I have been known to be wrong. :)
2 posted on 05/06/2002 1:57:02 AM PDT by GOPyouth
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To: GOPyouth; psyops; Colorado Tanker; Libertina; pissed off janitor; happygrl;Dennisw;sjackson...
"I am a realist," she said recently, describing her stance on global conflict. "Power matters. But there can be no absence of moral content in American foreign policy, and furthermore, the American people wouldn't accept such an absence. Europeans giggle at this and say we're naive and so on, but we're not Europeans, we're Americans - and we have different principles."

I want this whole quote on a Tshirt!!! Bush/Rice for me please...Cheney, God Bless You, take a break...I hate state funerals...

3 posted on 05/06/2002 2:03:42 AM PDT by sleavelessinseattle
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To: sleavelessinseattle
That is a nice quote from Rice and I bet she's got a whole slew of 'em for the "intellects" over in the Dim party to chew on. Gore flunked out of college- Rice enrolled at 15 and got her doctorate in her 20s. Gore invented the internet- Rice speaks four languages, figure skates and plays awesome piano (she also has a REAL job). Gore is a self proclaimed environmental champion/expert- Codolezza is acknowledged as being one of the foremost world experts in her field. I would love to see her match wits with Gore and/or Hillary on national television.
4 posted on 05/06/2002 2:12:20 AM PDT by Prodigal Son
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To: sleavelessinseattle
Well, guess I've got to get back to praying for Condi to embrace the pro-life position. I've been lax due to poor health lately.

Come on, Condi, you can figure it out. Pro-life, the sanctity of life, is the higher moral position that America should stand for, one that trumps women's rights.

5 posted on 05/06/2002 2:19:02 AM PDT by patriciaruth
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To: Prodigal Son
I would love to see her match wits with Gore and/or Hillary on national television.

you and me both!

6 posted on 05/06/2002 2:31:37 AM PDT by knak
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To: GOPyouth
I was in the shower this morning thinking about this very thing.

hehehehe

7 posted on 05/06/2002 2:41:30 AM PDT by The Bored One
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To: Prodigal Son
Condoleeza could not attrack the black vote.The black liberals in power scorn every black conservative as it is.Blacks speak of diversity but dont allow it.They speak of equality and then dictate what they think equality should be.That is what is wrong with the Democrat Party there is really no diversity you walk the walk,talk the talk and march in lockstep.But in saying that it is no different in the Republican Party fact is both are ruled along the lines of class.Remember the Democrats are run by the ABA and the Republicans are run by big business.They both get well off of the pain and suffering of the rest of us!There are really no difference in the rich and powerful regardless of race.They all strive to use and divide the rest of us.
8 posted on 05/06/2002 3:26:07 AM PDT by gunnedah
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To: Prodigal Son
Condi List
9 posted on 05/06/2002 3:44:52 AM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
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To: sleavelessinseattle; Prodigal Son
Here's an even better one (just imagine her sharing this reason for being pro-2A to a Democrat in a debate-- they'd wet themselves):

It was also clear to another Stanford colleague, Russia expert Michael McFaul, who remembers Rice telling him she opposed gun control and even gun registration because Bull Connor could have used it to disarm her father and others who patrolled Titusville in 1963. "For me as a liberal, pro-gun control person, it really hit me over the head," McFaul says. "I remember thinking, 'Who are we as white liberals to respond?' "

10 posted on 05/06/2002 3:50:22 AM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
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To: Prodigal Son; GOPyouth; sleavelessinseattle

11 posted on 05/06/2002 3:53:21 AM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
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To: Prodigal Son; GOPyouth; sleavelessinseattle


12 posted on 05/06/2002 3:54:56 AM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
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To: GraniteStateConservative;2Trievers
"Wow, What a wonderful way to start the day! That old aroma, Blood(of democratic election hopes;-)in the water..."

-FR Shark musings...

13 posted on 05/06/2002 3:55:01 AM PDT by sleavelessinseattle
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To: section9; Alex P. Keaton
Bush-Rice 2004 bump!
14 posted on 05/06/2002 3:56:13 AM PDT by GraniteStateConservative
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To: Prodigal Son
Note the brit's dis of the American "myth" that anyone could become Pres. I have a black neighbor,retired school teacher who calls Justice Thomas stupid. I sure would like to know if she thinks Rice has brains.
15 posted on 05/06/2002 4:27:57 AM PDT by larryjohnson
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To: sleavelessinseattle
I couldn't help myself .. hehe &;-)


16 posted on 05/06/2002 4:40:57 AM PDT by 2Trievers
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To: Prodigal Son
Condoleezza Rice once described her childhood as one where she couldn't sit at the lunch counter at Woolworths, but her parents still told her she could grow up to be president. Racism and segregation ruled her world in the deep south, but inside the Rice home, the great American myth prevailed.
Myth?
17 posted on 05/06/2002 4:45:07 AM PDT by Dales
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To: Prodigal Son
If Dubya is truly thinking long term, this needs to happen. If the Wicked Witch of the West Wing doesn't run in '04, you can be sure she will in '08. Rice may be just the antidote.
18 posted on 05/06/2002 4:45:25 AM PDT by ABG(anybody but Gore)
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To: ABG(anybody but Gore)
Condi Bump
19 posted on 05/06/2002 4:52:35 AM PDT by DooDahhhh
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To: gunnedah
Condoleeza could not attrack the black vote.The black liberals in power scorn every black conservative as it is.

Well, that would be to their detriment. Who would they prefer, someone who is of superior intelligence and ideas or some snake oil huckster like Jesse or Al? I think if the black community in America can work themselves past the cliches that the dems have perpetrated and look at the facts- we will have reached a real turning point in this country.

I think if one can't see Dr Rice as a positive role model... Well, they've got problems.

20 posted on 05/06/2002 5:00:30 AM PDT by Prodigal Son
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