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History is not on our side. I am holding out little hope that we will retain the house and regain the senate. Even the hugely popular FDR during WWII lost massive ground in the house and senate during mid term elections. The first of which saw his party lose 50 something house seats and 13 senate seats!

Point being that popularity of the president and a war does not lead to his party gaining seats in midterm elections.

History is not on our side. I am holding out little hope that we will retain the house and regain the senate. Even the hugely popular FDR during WWII lost massive ground in the house and senate during mid term elections. The first of which saw his party lose 50 something house seats and 13 senate seats!

Point being that popularity of the president and a war does not lead to his party gaining seats in midterm elections.

I don't think 2002 will be a normal mid-term election cycle. It is beginning to look more like a mirror image of the 1962 mid-term elections. In 1960 Kennedy won the presidency in one of the closest elections of the 20th century. He had no coat tails, and his party actually lost seats. In 1962, the Democrats actually made gains in the mid-term elections rather than lose seats.

Point being that popularity of the president and a war does not lead to his party gaining seats in midterm elections.

Look at recent history, then. In '98 the party in power gained seats (unfortunately). Redistricting slightly favors the Pubbies, fundraising most assuredly does, and the polls look favorable (though we're still six months out).