The trouble is that we lack strong candidates in key states. Take Lousiana for example.
Mary Landrieu won by a few votes, probably illegal, and is an intellectual lightweight in a state that voted heavily for Bush last time.
Right now, she's coasting to re-election. There's no excuse for that.
We are defending what would have been safe seats in Texas and Tennessee. We're defending Strom's and Jesse's seats this year without them in it.
I want to believe your scenario, but I would be thrilled if we can pick up even one or two seats this year.
What that mean for 2004 is anybody's guess. You're assuming a quick and popular victory in Iraq. I don't think that's a cakewalk. But if it is, your scenario is on the outer range of possibilities. It's what we should hope for.